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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Friday, 15 October 21
GLOBAL STEEL DEMAND GROWTH DOWNGRADED FOR 2021 DUE TO CHINA - WORLD STEEL ASSOCIATION
The World Steel Association (worldsteel) today released an update of its Short Range Outlook (SRO) for 2021 and 2022. worldsteel forecasts that ste ...
Thursday, 14 October 21
SPIKING COAL PRICES: DON’T BLAME THE ENERGY TRANSITION - IEEFA
Volatility highlights urgency for renewables-based energy solutions
“Energy crisis.” The phrase evokes nearly-forgotten ...
Thursday, 14 October 21
EIA FORECASTS U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TOTALS 588 MMST IN 2021, UP 53 MMST YOY
U.S. coal production in EIA's forecasts totals 588 million short tons (MMst) in 2021, 53 MMst more than in 2020.
According ...
Wednesday, 13 October 21
COAL PRICES ARE ROARING BACK AMID A GLOBAL ENERGY CRUNCH - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
Soaring coal prices have placed Australia’s mining and energy exports on track to reach a record $349 billion this year evenas the value of t ...
Wednesday, 13 October 21
CHINA ISN'T THE ONLY HUGE ASIAN ECONOMY WITH A COAL SHORTAGE NOW - CNBC
China is not the only Asian giant grappling with an energy crunch — India is also teetering on the edge of a power crisis.
Mos ...
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
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