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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Friday, 22 October 21
CHINA WANTS TO COOL COAL PRICES. SIMILAR MOVES FOR METALS, CRUDE FAILED - REUTERS
China’s latest attempt to lower runaway commodity prices, this time for thermal coal, is likely to follow a familiar pattern of initial succe ...
Friday, 22 October 21
HARD COAL REMAINS AN IMPORTANT FACTOR FOR SECURITY OF SUPPLY - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION, GERMANY
- Hard coal remains an important factor for security of supply
- Increase of around 35% in hard-coal-fired power generation in the first three ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA'S COAL SHORTAGE TO EASE IN COMING MONTHS, INDUSTRY BODY SAYS - REUTERS
China’s coal shortage will likely ease in coming months, with domestic production and imports already showing signs of picking up, a coal ind ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA'S RAW COAL OUTPUT DROPS IN SEPTEMBER - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output dropped 0.9 percent year on year to 330 million tonnes last month, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
OVER-RELIANCE ON COAL IN OUR POWER MIX HURTING INDIA - LIVEMINT
In spite of the renewables push, coal still accounts for about 50% of India’s installed power capacity. That means a simultaneous demand and ...
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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