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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Wednesday, 24 November 21
WHY THIS MINING ANALYST IS UPBEAT ON THE IRON ORE PRICE FORECAST - MOTLEY FOOL
In many ways, 2021 can be called the year of the iron ore price. Much of the talk of the ASX town this year has revolved around this key economic m ...
Wednesday, 24 November 21
PRICE OF CHINA’S COAL FUTURE DROPS BY 60% AS NATIONWIDE DAILY OUTPUT REACHES OVER 12 MILLION TONS: NDRC - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s daily coal output has now stabilized after reaching over 12 million tons and the price of coal futures has declined to 800 yuan ($125 ...
Friday, 19 November 21
CHINA: COAL SUPPLIES TO STABILIZE FOR COMING COLD SEASON
China is capable of ensuring stable coal supplies this winter and next spring with the increase in coal production and the rising stockpiles at pow ...
Wednesday, 17 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It has been another declining week for the dry bulk market and evidently, we are seeing asset values gradually losing momentum as well. Following a ...
Tuesday, 16 November 21
EARNINGS RECOVERY IN INDONESIAN COAL TO CONTINUE THROUGH 2021, BUT SLOW IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
The recovery in the operating and financial performance of Indonesian coal miners and coal contractors is likely to slow in 2022, but coal prices s ...
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PTC India Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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