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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Thursday, 27 January 22
2022 - A YEAR OF REBALANCING FOR METALS AND MINING - WOOD MACKENZIE
If 2021 was the year of rebound for metals and mining (M&M) commodities, then 2022 is shaping as the year of rebalance, says Wood Mackenzie, a ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While it is logical that most of the S&P reports of the first weeks of the year are linked to very limited activity as reflected in the weekly ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
INDONESIA: DME PROJECT IS ECONOMICALLY VIABLE AS STUDY DEMONSTRATES
The government is encouraging downstream coal processing or increase in coal added value, for example by turning coal into Dimethyl Ether (DME) to ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
COMMODITY PRICES COULD SOAR IF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CRISIS ESCALATES - ING
It appears that a number of commodity markets are starting to at least price in some geopolitical risk around the growing tension between Russia an ...
Wednesday, 26 January 22
INDONESIA'S COAL BAN SENDS PRICES SOARING, OTHER EXPORTERS FAIL TO STEP UP - REUTERS
Indonesia’s short-lived ban on exporting coal has sent ructions through the seaborne market for the fuel in Asia, with the fallout likely to ...
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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