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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
OIL PRICES: "IT'S GOING TO BE VERY EASY" TO GET TO $100/BARREL, ANALYST SAYS - YAHOO FINANCE
Energy and oil prices have been on fire over the last six months — and expect them to go higher, says one analyst.
“For ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China& ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
FEBRUARY HBA HITS RECORD HIGH IN 2022 ON INDONESIA’S EXPORT BAN IN JANUARY, WORSEN SUPPLY, UKRAINE TENSIONS
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for February in a steep climb from January 2022.
As expected in January the Indonesia ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
CHINESE COAL MARKS BEST DAY IN 4 MONTHS ON TIGHT SUPPLY, HIGH DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s coal futures on Tuesday recorded their best session since Bejing’s mid-October intervention to cool runaway prices, aided by co ...
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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