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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Thursday, 30 June 22
INVESTMENT IN GLOBAL COAL SUPPLY CHAIN TO HIT $115 BN IN 2022, LED BY CHINA AND INDIA - BUSINESS LINE
At over $80 billion, China and India are anticipated to make up the bulk of global coal investment in 2022, says IEA.
The investment ...
Wednesday, 29 June 22
LNG MARKET REMAINS TIGHT - INTERMODAL
LNG market remains tight currently, mainly driven by the US LNG outage from the recent fire in Freeport LNG terminal together with the recent fall ...
Wednesday, 29 June 22
CHINA'S NEW PLAN FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT FOCUSES ON CONSUMPTION - FITCH RATINGS
China’s focus on consumption penetration for renewable energy development in its recently released 14th five-year plan – 2021 to 2025 & ...
Wednesday, 29 June 22
APAC CORPORATE SECTOR OUTLOOKS SHIFT AMID GLOBAL SHOCKS - FITCH RATINGS’
Fitch Ratings’ mid-2022 corporate sector outlook review revealed that the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region saw the largest number of sector outlook ...
Thursday, 16 June 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Picking up from my last insight in March, on the early days of the invasion, it's worth pointing out the way that the fast-paced working enviro ...
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Planning Commission, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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