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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Thursday, 13 October 22
OPEC DOWNGRADES CRUDE OIL DEMAND, AS WORLD ECONOMY ENTERS SLOWDOWN
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket (ORB) declined m-o-m by $6.58 in September, or 6.5%, to average $95.32/b. Pressure from equ ...
Wednesday, 12 October 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Sale and Purchase activity during the first three quarters of 2022 has been remarkable.
Focusing only on Tankers and Bulkers, such v ...
Monday, 10 October 22
ENERGY TRANSITION BOOSTS GLOBAL LONG-TERM DEMAND FOR METALS - FITCH RATINGS
The energy transition will significantly increase demand for metals used in manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable power generation ...
Monday, 10 October 22
GLOBAL CEOS EXPECT IMPENDING RECESSION TO BE 'SHORT AND SHARP,' POLL SHOWS - CNBC
Global CEOs are anticipating a recession in the next 12 months, according to a new survey by professional services firm KPMG, which said more than ...
Thursday, 06 October 22
AUSTRALIA’S RESOURCES REVENUE TO HIT RECORD AMID UKRAINE CONFLICT - REUTERS
Australian resources and energy export earnings are forecast to jump 7% to a record A$450 billion ($290 billion) this fiscal year, bolstered by soa ...
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
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