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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Saturday, 18 February 23
PAKISTAN PLANS TO QUADRUPLE DOMESTIC COAL-FIRED POWER, MOVE AWAY FROM GAS - REUTERS
Pakistan plans to quadruple its domestic coal-fired capacity to reduce power generation costs and will not build new gas-fired plants in the coming ...
Saturday, 18 February 23
2023 MARINE FUEL MARKET PREDICTIONS - JOHN BERGMAN, AURAMARINE
The drive for decarbonisation we witnessed in 2022 has continued into 2023, demonstrating the shipping’s industry positive strides in the fas ...
Saturday, 28 January 23
COAL GROWTH BLIP NOT TO BE REPEATED - BALTIC EXCHANGE
As 2022 drew to a close, global coal demand looked set to end the year just 1.2% up on the previous year. But that small increase was enough to pus ...
Thursday, 26 January 23
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT INCREASES IN DECEMBER 2022 - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output posted stable expansion in December 2022, official data showed.
The country produced 400 million tonne ...
Thursday, 26 January 23
COKING COAL NARROWS THE GAP ON THERMAL AS CHINA REOPENS - REUTERS
The premium of high-grade thermal coal over coking coal in Asia is shrinking as China’s re-opening and ending of a ban on imports from Austra ...
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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