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Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
 Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in its latest Mineral & Energy outlook.
NAB further sais, Hard coking coal prices rose above US$200 a tonne in mid- June (due to port and rail maintenance issues), while thermal coal prices pushed above US$110 a tonne (the highest level since early 2012). Spot prices for thermal coal may become increasingly important – given the breakdown of the traditional Japanese financial year contract mechanism, with Tohoku Electric Power Co pulling out of negotiations with miner Glencore (the two parties who negotiate the agreement).
According to NAB economists, Asia is the key region for seaborne coal demand – with China, India, Japan and South Korea accounting for almost 60% of global imports in 2017. The growth potential of the latter two is somewhat limited longer term (given the mature nature of their economies), while rapidly growing India is increasing its domestic supply, aiming to develop self-sufficiency in coal supply.
China’s coal import trends have been mixed in 2018. NAB noted that, in the first five months, imports of metallurgical coal fell sharply – down 25% to 22.6 million tonnes, while thermal coal imports rose by 20% to 97.4 million tonnes. In a large part the latter reflected a particularly cold winter (boosting demand across January through March) and poor availability of natural gas.
Short term supply issues have impacted coal markets in recent years – particularly hard coking coal exports from Queensland. A dispute between the privately owned rail operator and the Queensland Competition Authority regarding its regulated maximum allowable revenue between 2017 and 2021 could limit the state’s coal exports in coming years – adding some upside risk to our price forecasts, the report says.
Australia’s total coal exports have increased strongly in the first four months of 2018 – albeit this reflects the recovery from Tropical Cyclone Debbie that severely disrupted metallurgical coal exports in April 2017. Thermal coal volumes rose by 0.8% yoy to 64.8 million tonnes, while metallurgical coal exports rose by 13% yoy to 55.6 million tonnes. That said, metallurgical coal exports remain well below the levels recorded in the first four months of 2014 through 2016.
Coal prices are expected to ease from current levels – as a softening China’s steel sector reduces coking coal demand and supply side concerns ease. We expect hard coking coal prices to average US$186 a tonne in 2018, a decrease of almost 15% (reflecting impact of supply shortfalls in 2017). In contrast, average thermal coal prices are forecast to increase by 12% to US$98 a tonne, the report says.
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Monday, 23 August 21
CHINESE COAL PRODUCTION RISES 4.9 PCT IN 1ST 7 MONTHS OF 2021 - NBS
Official figures demonstrated that the Chinese raw coal production surged 4.9 percent annually to 2.26 billion tonnes in the January-July period of ...
Friday, 20 August 21
ARE WE LOOKING AT THE NEXT DRY BULK SUPER CYCLE? IS IT EVEN A CYCLE? - BIMCO
Throughout the first half of the year, talk of a new dry bulk super cycle has been on many lips as commodity prices have soared to multi-year highs ...
Friday, 20 August 21
BIMCO'S SHIPPING NUMBER OF THE WEEK: CHINESE IRON ORE IMPORTS FALL TO 14-MONTH LOW IN JULY - PETER SAND
Chinese iron ore imports fell to 88.5 million tonnes in July, the lowest level since May 2020. The fall in July means that accumulated imports are ...
Friday, 20 August 21
SOARING DEMAND FOR THE WORLD’S LEAST-LIKED COMMODITY SEES THERMAL COAL PRICES JUMP 106% THIS YEAR - CNBC
Soaring electricity demand, infrastructure woes and a surge in global gas prices have triggered an extraordinary rally for the world’s least ...
Friday, 20 August 21
CHINA’S IRON ORE IMPORTS CONTRACTED YEAR-ON-YEAR BY 2% IN 2018 AND GREW YEAR-ON-YEAR BY ONLY 1% IN 2019 - COMMODORE RESEARCH
Examining the last ten years of China’s crude steel output and iron ore imports shows that China’s iron ore imports have stayed r ...
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- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Coal Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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