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Thursday, 12 April 18
SHIPPING CAN MANAGE US-CHINA TARIFFS, BUT RISKS RISING - FITCH
 Container and, to some extent, dry bulk would probably be the shipping segments most affected by the recently announced US and China tariffs, Fitch Ratings says. However, the degree of impact will depend on the final terms of the tariffs, and the potential flexibility of shipping companies to divert some volumes to other destinations and the ultimate tonne-mile demand. A more pronounced and wider sector impact potentially affecting all shipping segments could result if the planned tariffs lead to escalating retaliatory protectionist measures.
The US recently announced potential tariffs on steel and aluminium imports. Subsequently, it proposed an additional duty of 25% on certain products imported from China, including medicaments, machinery and chemicals, with a total value of about USD50 billion. In response, China proposed a 25% tariff on a range of imported products from the US including soybeans, chemicals and selected aircraft.
The immediate impact of potential tariffs may be manageable for both container and dry-bulk shipping. Some of the goods under the proposed tariffs are likely to continue to be imported by the US or China due to the limited substitutes. Some of the volumes could be diverted to other countries, potentially affecting distances travelled and putting tonne-mile demand in focus. The proposed value of about USD50 billion of goods subject to tariffs accounts for only about 10% of US imports from China and slightly over 2% of China’s total merchandise exports. In addition, soybeans and steel represent a limited share of the dry-bulk shipping market.
The direct impact on the companies will also depend on their exposure to trans-Pacific trades. Container shipping companies are global and tend to be diversified by trading lanes. The top five companies, including Maersk Line, Hapag-Lloyd and COSCO, have manageable exposure to US-Asia trades. However, smaller ones, mostly Asian container shipping companies, including Yang Ming, Evergreen and OOIL, have large exposure to trans-Pacific trades of around 40%.
The key risk to shipping is if protectionist measures escalate into a trade war damaging the prospects for global trade and GDP growth. Global trade growth is an important stimulator of demand in container shipping, while China remains the key driver for dry-bulk commodity imports and trade.
We believe the supply side is key to achieving the supply-demand balance and a long-term sustainable recovery in the sector, but further slowdown in volume growth in the short term may put further pressure on freight rates. Volume growth has moderated for both container and dry-bulk shipping in recent years. This again emphasises the necessity of prudent capacity management in the sector, which has been plagued by overcapacity.
The IMF expects global trade growth to reach 4.6% in 2018. This should support container transport volumes growth of over 4.5% in 2018. However, supply growth has increased since 2016 and is likely to accelerate to over 5.5% in 2018, again exceeding demand growth. We expect supply-demand fundamentals to be better in dry bulk, with a moderate expected increase in dry-bulk volumes of 2.7% in 2018 coupled with low vessel supply growth at 1.2%, which should provide support for dry bulk freight rates.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Friday, 18 May 18
AFTER COAL, INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT PUSHES DMO ON GAS FOR ELECTRICITY
After introducing its domestic market obligation (DMO) policy for coal on March 12, the government is going forward with its plan to introduce a DM ...
Friday, 18 May 18
INDONESIA'S SAMARINDA ANCHORAGE COAL LOADING ACTIVITIES WERE RESUMED YESTERDAY AT 4PM LOCAL TIME
Samarinda Anchorage coal loading activities were resumed yesterday at 4PM local time.
Local fishermen in Samarinda Anchorage have been demonst ...
Wednesday, 16 May 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
Half-way through the second quarter of the year and as the Posidonia week approaches everyone is getting ready for this unique gathering that besid ...
Thursday, 10 May 18
PRIVATE POWER PRODUCERS NEED A 'POWERFUL PUSH' - PRADEEP MITTAL
- PLF of the Private Sector in the country (Coal and Lignite based) for FY 2017-18 (till Dec 2017) is 56%.
- 51 GW of stressed assets (Thermal &a ...
Tuesday, 08 May 18
BUMA SIGNED OVER US$1 BILLION WORTH OF NEW CONTRACT WITH PT INDONESIA PRATAMA
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama, has entered into mining services contracts with PT Indones ...
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Showing 1721 to 1725 news of total 6871 |
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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