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Friday, 30 March 18
SHIPPING INDUSTRY CONFIDENCE HITS FOUR-YEAR HIGH - MOORE STEPHENS
Shipping Confidence Survey
In February 2018, the average confidence level expressed by respondents was up from 6.2 in November 2017 to a four-year high at 6.4 out of 10.0. Confidence on the part of owners was also at a four-year high, up from 6.4 to 6.6, while managers’ confidence was up too, from 6.1 to 6.4. The rating for charterers, however, continued its recent erratic performance – down to 5.0 from 7.7 in November 2017, but up on the 4.7 recorded in August 2017.
Confidence on the part of brokers, meanwhile, was down from 6.3 to 6.1. Confidence was up in Europe from 6.3 to 6.6, equalling the highest ever rating for this category of respondent in the life of the survey, which was launched in May 2008 with an average confidence rating across all respondents in all geographical areas of 6.8. Confidence was also up in Asia, from 5.7 to 6.3, and in North America, from 5.8 to 5.9.
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“The shipping market is still characterised by high volatility and excess tonnage in most sectors, particularly bulk carriers and tankers, but there is cause for slight optimism.”
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Survey analysis
The likelihood of respondents making a major investment, or significant development, over the next 12 months was up on the previous survey from 5.3
to 5.5 out of a maximum possible score of 10.0, its highest level since May 2014. Of note was the increased confidence of charterers (up from 6.2 to 6.8) and of managers (up from 5.3 to 5.6). Geographically, increased expectations of major investment were highest in Asia (up from 5.0 to 5.8).
The number of respondents who expected finance costs to increase over the coming year was up from 59% last time to 64%, the highest figure since May 2008 (66%)
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“Starting next year, the industry looks set to benefit from capacity reductions at shipyards, but the cost of funding will rise for most market participants.”
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Freight markets
The number of respondents expecting higher rates over the next 12 months in the tanker market was down by five percentage points on the previous survey to 39%, whilst those expecting lower rates were unchanged at 13%. Meanwhile, there was a four percentage-point increase, to 54%, in the numbers anticipating higher rates in the dry bulk sector, accompanied by a four percentage-point fall to 8% in the numbers anticipating lower rates. In the container ship sector, there was a two percentage-point increase to 38% in the numbers expecting higher rates, and a three percentage-point fall, to 12%, in those anticipating lower rates.
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“The supply and demand equation will balance out in line with industry growth rate over the coming years.”
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Crude oil prices
When asked to predict where per-barrel crude oil prices would be in 12 months’ time, 36% of respondents opted for the $60-$69 range, as opposed to 29% when the same question was posed in February 2017. The 19% of respondents who opted for the $50-$59 range was just half the 38% who did so last year, while 28% of respondents favoured the $70-$79 price range, as opposed to just 10% 12 months ago.
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“In order to survive in a shipping industry characterised by low freight rates, we must try to reduce ship management expenses.”
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Conclusion
The volatile nature of the shipping industry dictates that optimism should be tempered with caution. But a four-year high in confidence must be welcomed as extremely good news. Shipping is more confident of making a major new investment over the next 12 months than at any time in almost four years, even though finance will probably be costlier to access in the year ahead. Net freight rate sentiment is positive in all main tonnage categories, and, whilst down in tankers, it increased both in the dry bulk and container ship trades. Familiar problems persist. Excess tonnage in many trades and insufficient demolition levels continue to perpetuate uncertainty, and freight rates are not yet at the levels required to turn promise into reality.
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Thursday, 26 April 18
COAL PRICES ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE $85/MT IN 2018, DOWN SLIGHTLY FROM 2017 - WORLD BANK
Coal prices rose 4 percent in the first quarter (q/q), following a surge of 34 percent in 2017, mainly due to strong consumption in China spurred b ...
Wednesday, 25 April 18
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - THEODOROS NTALAKOS
We had the opportunity to be part of Intertanko's Hellenic Mediterranean Panel last week in the SNFCC and to present an outlook on the tanker f ...
Tuesday, 24 April 18
IMPORTING INDONESIAN COAL MAKES SENSE FOR INDIAN COASTAL PLANTS EVEN WHEN IT IS COSTLIER THAN INDIAN - ECONOMIC TIMES
Rising Indonesian coal production and lower Chinese demand have pulled down Indonesian coal prices by 22% over the last 45 days, a trend that augur ...
Tuesday, 24 April 18
IMO AIMS TO HALVE GLOBAL SHIPPING EMISSIONS - BUT WHAT WILL IT COST? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global bunker fuel costs could rise by up to US$60 billion annually from 2020, in a full compliance scenario, when the International Maritim ...
Tuesday, 24 April 18
TWO 56K-DWT OPEN HONG KONG AND SINGAPORE WERE FIXED FOR INDONESIA COAL TRIPS TO CHINA, AT $9,500 AND $11,000 RESPECTIVELY - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
This week has seen the Cape 5 timecharter weighted average almost double. Similarly, the Brazil to China ore rates climbed over $4.50, f ...
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Showing 1736 to 1740 news of total 6871 |
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- White Energy Company Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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