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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Friday, 02 March 18
MORE COAL INQUIRES FROM SOUTH AFRICA TO INDIA; SUPRAS FIXED CA $12K + BB - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Better rates in Atlantic, but not too busy market just yet.
Black Sea catched improving rates for grain cargoes, where supras to Eg ...
Friday, 02 March 18
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DOWN 2.7 PER CENT W/E 24 FEB, EIA DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.2 million short tons ...
Wednesday, 28 February 18
INDIA: TEPID COAL TRAFFIC TO HIT VOLUME GROWTH AT PORTS TILL 2022 - PTI
Cargo growth at the country’s major ports is all set to moderate to 3-5 per cent per annum over the next five years due to the “sedate ...
Wednesday, 28 February 18
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
US Shale production continues to grow rapidly, hitting new records and with projections being revised upwardly at every turn. According to the Inte ...
Tuesday, 27 February 18
SHELL SEES POTENTIAL LNG SUPPLY SHORTAGE AS GLOBAL DEMAND SURGES
Media Release: The global liquefied natural gas (LNG) market has continued to defy expectations of many market observers, with demand growing by 29 ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
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