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Wednesday, 14 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASILIS MOIRIS
IntermodalInterest in second hand tonnage remains firm with buyers in the dry bulk sector looking to benefit from rising freight rates that are eventually expected to lead to improved asset prices as well.  The sentiment on the tanker side is evidently less positive, with buyers taking a step back until a good asset play opportunity arises in view of an admittedly suppressed market.

Activity in the dry bulk sector has been overall firm despite the scarcity of available modern candidates in the market. The lack of sale candidates and the increasing freight market has already pushed values higher in some cases and as we are going into the grain season out of South America this is expected to continue.

Chinese buyers are back in buying mode – more conservative this time though - and are selectively bidding for early ‘00s built tonnage for import purposes. As buyers have a number of options to choose from and as values have recently remained flat in these ages, sales activity remains stable.

Nevertheless, buyers’ appetite remains strong thus this may be a good timing for new acquisitions in view of  improving market levels. Comparatively, newbuilding activity has been steady but has not reached excessive volumes, possibly on the back of the uncertainty of the Tier III regulations that has made yards hesitant to commit new designs.

With regards to demolition, as a result of the ‘healthy’ freight rates and despite the current strong demo prices, owners are reluctant to scrap their ships and we have even recently noted  increased interest from buyers in pre-2000 built vessels, mainly for Handysize up to Panamax bulkers with a number of transactions being concluded.

On the other hand, in the tanker sector activity remains flat but with some signs of improvement in view of current low values. The products sector has been more active recently with a couple of reported transactions at firming levels and with buyers mostly focusing on vessels built in the last 5-10 years. Period rates in the sector have also been relatively stable, providing some security to owners.

This has not been the case for crude carriers where the extensive pressure the spot market has been witnessing throughout the bigger part of the winter season is now also manifesting on period numbers. Indeed the crude carriers sector is relatively quiet but this may change in the foreseeable future as we are seeing some demolition activity – particularly in the VLCC sector for post ‘00s built units – in recent weeks.

As second hand values appear to have bottomed out – at least for now - and with most owners still reluctant to sell at current price levels, any ‘realistic’ market candidate attracts the interest of a number of buyers looking for a good asset play move. The lack of modern tonnage has resulted in a shift of buying interest towards vessels of around 15 year old of age, the values of which are now substantially closer to the LDT of the respective ships and any slight uptick in freight rates could prove profitable.
By Vasilis Moiris


Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations

Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima

Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.


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