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Wednesday, 14 February 18
HISTORY REPEATING ITSELF? - IEA
 This month’s OMR is abbreviated to allow time for us to complete our annual five-year outlook that will be published in our report Oil 2018 on 5 March. Meanwhile, new and revised data shows a modest tightening of the balance in the early part of 2018, but the main message remains unchanged from last month and it is very clear: in 2018, fast rising production in non-OPEC countries, led by the US, is likely to grow by more than demand. For now, the upward momentum that drove the price of Brent crude oil to $70/bbl has stalled; partly due to investors taking profits, but also as part of the corrections we have seen recently in many markets. Most importantly, the underlying oil market fundamentals in the early part of 2018 look less supportive for prices.
Our demand growth estimate for 2017 remains strong at 1.6 mb/d, reinforced by November data for the US. For 2018, the more positive global economic picture published by the International Monetary Fund is a key factor in raising our growth outlook to 1.4 mb/d. It was thought that the significant increase in the dollar price of crude oil since the middle of 2017 would dampen growth, and this might be the case to some extent, but the impact of higher prices has been partly offset in some countries by currency appreciations.
It is clear that strong demand growth in 2017, alongside a modest increase last year in non-OPEC output, and the cuts made by leading producers, has contributed to the extraordinarily rapid fall in OECD oil stocks. A year ago, they were 264 mb above the five-year average and now they are only 52 mb in excess of it, with stocks of oil products actually below the benchmark. Although the OECD is not the whole world, the leading oil producers who agreed to cut output identified the level of the group’s stocks as an indicator of the progress of their initiative. With the surplus having shrunk so dramatically, the success of the output agreement might be close to hand. This, however, is not necessarily the case: oil price rises have come to a halt and gone into reverse, and, according to our supply/demand balance, so might the decline in oil stocks, at least in the early part of this year.
The main factor is US oil production. In just three months to November, crude output increased by a colossal 846 kb/d, and will soon overtake that of Saudi Arabia. By the end of this year, it might also overtake Russia to become the global leader. All the indicators that suggest continued fast growth in the US are in perfect alignment; rising prices leading, after a few months, to more drilling, more completions, more production, and more hedging. In early 2018, the situation is reminiscent of the first wave of US shale growth that, riding the tide of high oil prices in the early years of this decade, made big gains in terms of market share and eventually in 2014 forced a historic change of policy by leading producers. Today, having cut costs dramatically, US producers are enjoying a second wave of growth so extraordinary that in 2018 their increase in liquids production could equal global demand growth. This is a sobering thought for other producers currently sitting on shut-in production capacity and facing a renewed challenge to their market share. Another sobering thought is that it is not just a matter of production: trade patterns are changing. Recently we read of a shipment of condensate from the US to the UAE. Such a development would have seemed incredible a few years ago, now it looks like the shape of things to come.
The components of the oil market balance are dynamic and a lot can change in the next few months: the deteriorating situation in Venezuela is one obvious candidate, and the apparent buoyancy of the global economy could deliver higher demand growth than we currently anticipate. As a result, prices could be maintained at recent levels even as US production rises. If so, most producers will be happy, but if not, history might be repeating itself.
Source: IEA
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Tuesday, 06 February 18
THE FUNDAMENTALS FOR INDIAN COAL IMPORTS CONTINUE TO LOOK PROMISING - TORVALD KLAVENESS
Back in August we reported that the fundamentals impacting Indian coal imports looked more promising.
Trade flow data today implies 17.4Mt of ...
Monday, 05 February 18
SUPRAMAX : INDONESIA TO INDIA PASSING THROUGH SINGAPORE HAS SOFTENED
COALspot.com: The daily average earnings for Supramax, for the route Indonesia to India passing through Singapore has softened, week over week, own ...
Friday, 02 February 18
SUPRAMAX : INDONESIA TO CHINA COAL TRIPS ARE PAYING AROUND MID USD 9000 - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Rather quiet week within Atl, specially Continent due to lack of cargoes.
According to Fearnleys Weekly - Dry bulk report published ...
Friday, 02 February 18
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED 54.1 MMST, DOWN 8.8% YOY - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.3 million short tons ...
Thursday, 01 February 18
RISING US OIL EXPORTS, MARKET DISRUPTION, BRENT-WTI SPREAD - WOOD MACKENZIE
What will US tight oil growth do to crude markets? The build-up in volumes early this decade led to a supply glut that undermined prices in 2014.
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Showing 1816 to 1820 news of total 6871 |
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The University of Queensland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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