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Wednesday, 07 February 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 Crude oil supply has been reported to have grown by approx. 2.5% reaching 40.1m bpd in 2017. However, tanker charter rates have been under pressure and have significantly been declining since Q3 of 2017 as a result of demand-supply imbalance. Lately, Brent crude oil has hit a 3-year high evidence that OPEC’s policy for supply cuts is supporting prices. Forecasts for 2018 indicate elevated oil demand that might lead to healthier tanker rates, subject to a number of other factors as well.
IEA forecasts global crude oil demand to rise by 1.3% mainly on the back of increased imports by China and India. China’s crude oil imports increased by 800,000 bpd in 2017, representing 50% of the global oil demand growth. China’s domestic oil demand continues to grow, while inland output is respectively descending. IEA projects China’s oil import dependence to rise to 80% by 2040. Additionally, India’s crude oil demand is increasing rapidly, with the country’s import dependence reaching 82% last year. India’s imports from OPEC’s countries declined during 2017, while total imports from non OPEC producers such as US, Canada, Russia and Kazakhstan significantly increased. BP projects the country’s energy demand to rise faster than any other major economy between now and 2035. India’s oil consumption averaged 4.6 million bpd in 2017 and it is projected that the country’s crude oil demand will increase 4.3% in 2018.
It is reported that OPEC will maintain output cuts, while demand continues to grow in 2018. Non-OPEC production is estimated to grow by 1.3 million bpd, with most of it sourced from the US, paving the way for significant ton-mile demand gains, as the USG to Asia represents one of the longest hauls possible. US exports have already started to increase, a trend which is probable bound to continue as OPEC sticks to current production levels. Asian refineries have already increased their oil orders from the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. Concurrently, the trouble in Venezuela could discourage ton-mile growth as Europe and Asia are important consumers of Venezuelan crude and exports to these regions represent one of the longest hauls. Therefore, as US exports continue to grow, much of this benefit may be offset by declining long haul routes out of Venezuela.
When prices trended lower in past years, inventories built up and demand for storage spiked. Respectively, such demand diminished as inventories reached peak levels and storage became rarer. Nowadays, we are in the downward phase of this cycle almost after 5 years, as inventories are being utilized. Once inventory capacities return to more manageable levels, in line with historical averages, this would allow trade flows to stabilize, which could be a sort of tailwind for the crude tanker market once it all plays out. Of course the tanker deliveries that are schedule for this year, estimated at around 10.7 million dwt, as far as crude carriers are concerned, will most probably offset part of this expected upside.
A healthier crude market is expected in 2018, with analysts anticipating most of the upside to take place closer to the end of the year. As discussed, various supply-demand essentials may disturb the trade patterns and as always numerous of currently unknown risks could also present themselves during the year. Undoubtedly it looks like all of these trends will require close monitoring in the year ahead.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 06 February 18
THE FUNDAMENTALS FOR INDIAN COAL IMPORTS CONTINUE TO LOOK PROMISING - TORVALD KLAVENESS
Back in August we reported that the fundamentals impacting Indian coal imports looked more promising.
Trade flow data today implies 17.4Mt of ...
Monday, 05 February 18
SUPRAMAX : INDONESIA TO INDIA PASSING THROUGH SINGAPORE HAS SOFTENED
COALspot.com: The daily average earnings for Supramax, for the route Indonesia to India passing through Singapore has softened, week over week, own ...
Friday, 02 February 18
SUPRAMAX : INDONESIA TO CHINA COAL TRIPS ARE PAYING AROUND MID USD 9000 - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Rather quiet week within Atl, specially Continent due to lack of cargoes.
According to Fearnleys Weekly - Dry bulk report published ...
Friday, 02 February 18
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED 54.1 MMST, DOWN 8.8% YOY - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.3 million short tons ...
Thursday, 01 February 18
RISING US OIL EXPORTS, MARKET DISRUPTION, BRENT-WTI SPREAD - WOOD MACKENZIE
What will US tight oil growth do to crude markets? The build-up in volumes early this decade led to a supply glut that undermined prices in 2014.
...
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Showing 1816 to 1820 news of total 6871 |
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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