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Tuesday, 06 February 18
THE FUNDAMENTALS FOR INDIAN COAL IMPORTS CONTINUE TO LOOK PROMISING - TORVALD KLAVENESS
Torvald KlavenessBack in August we reported that the fundamentals impacting Indian coal imports looked more promising.

Trade flow data today implies 17.4Mt of imports in November 19.0Mt in December and 16.2Mt in January. Based on trade flow data we estimate imports in Oct-Dec 17 to be up about 30% YoY while we estimate imports in January to be up 17% YoY. The positive outlook has thus come into fruition.

The combined coal stocks at mines and powerplants has increased from a low point of 36Mt at the end of October to 48Mt at the end of January. Measured as days worth of inventories at powerplants, the combined stocks have increased from 24.4 at the end of October to 29.8 days at the end of January. However, this has happened in a period where stocks seasonally tend to increase. Thus, compared to previous years the stocks are still at very low level.

On the demand side, we see some clear signs that Indian economy is recovering from the negative short term effects of the demonetization introduced in November 2016. If we use the data for Indian cement production as a proxy for the activity level we can clearly see how the activity has accelerated sequentially since August 2017.

Thus, we think the imports will continue at a strong pace going forward as the underlying fundamentals continue to look promising.


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Friday, 19 January 18
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT WAS 13.5 MMST FOR THE WEEK ENDING JANUARY 13, EIA SAYS
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.5 million short tons ...


Thursday, 18 January 18
WORLD TRADE IN HARD COAL RISES BY 1.5% IN 2017 - KOHLENIMPORTEURE
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Wednesday, 17 January 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
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Monday, 15 January 18
THE FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE FLAT TO WEAK THIS WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: The daily average earnings for Supramax, for the route Indonesia to India passing through Singapore has stayed firm, week over week, ...


Monday, 15 January 18
QUEENSLAND SHIPPED 210.8 MT OF COAL IN 2017, DOWN 5% YOY QUEENSLAND RESOURCES COUNCIL
Queensland's coal exports over the 12 months reached 210.8 mt which is down 10 mt or 5 per cent from the previous year’s record of 220.8 ...


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