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Tuesday, 06 February 18
THE FUNDAMENTALS FOR INDIAN COAL IMPORTS CONTINUE TO LOOK PROMISING - TORVALD KLAVENESS
Torvald KlavenessBack in August we reported that the fundamentals impacting Indian coal imports looked more promising.

Trade flow data today implies 17.4Mt of imports in November 19.0Mt in December and 16.2Mt in January. Based on trade flow data we estimate imports in Oct-Dec 17 to be up about 30% YoY while we estimate imports in January to be up 17% YoY. The positive outlook has thus come into fruition.

The combined coal stocks at mines and powerplants has increased from a low point of 36Mt at the end of October to 48Mt at the end of January. Measured as days worth of inventories at powerplants, the combined stocks have increased from 24.4 at the end of October to 29.8 days at the end of January. However, this has happened in a period where stocks seasonally tend to increase. Thus, compared to previous years the stocks are still at very low level.

On the demand side, we see some clear signs that Indian economy is recovering from the negative short term effects of the demonetization introduced in November 2016. If we use the data for Indian cement production as a proxy for the activity level we can clearly see how the activity has accelerated sequentially since August 2017.

Thus, we think the imports will continue at a strong pace going forward as the underlying fundamentals continue to look promising.


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Tuesday, 27 February 18
SHELL SEES POTENTIAL LNG SUPPLY SHORTAGE AS GLOBAL DEMAND SURGES
Media Release: The global liquefied natural gas (LNG) market has continued to defy expectations of many market observers, with demand growing by 29 ...


Saturday, 24 February 18
CHINA BECOMES WORLD'S SECOND LARGEST LNG IMPORTER, BEHIND JAPAN - EIA
China surpassed South Korea to become the world’s second-largest importer of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in 2017, according to data from IHS ...


Friday, 23 February 18
ESTIMATED U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 2.8 PER CENT W/E 17 FEB' 18 - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.6 million short tons ...


Thursday, 22 February 18
WHY THE COMMODITY RALLY WILL GET BACK ON TRACK - SIMON FLOWERS
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Thursday, 22 February 18
PANAMAX: IT HAS BEEN A SLOW AND UNEVENTFUL WEEK - FEARNLEYS
Supramax Slight improvement from Atlantic with more hope for upcoming weeks. More grain cargoes from Black Sea made fhaul rates better again $17- ...


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