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Tuesday, 14 November 17
IN 2018, WORLD OIL DEMAND IS FORESEEN REACHING 1.51 MB/D - OPEC
Oil Market Highlights - OPEC
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $55.50/b in October, gaining $2.06 over the previous month and reaching the highest value in more than two-and-a-half years, with a year-to-date average of $50.68/b. Crude futures also reached levels not seen since mid-2015. ICE Brent ended $2.13 higher at $57.65/b, while NYMEX WTI increased $1.72, reaching $51.59/b, keeping the Brent-WTI spread above $6/b. Prices have been supported by rising global demand data and expectations that major producing nations will extend a deal to adjust output and bring the oil market to a balance. Hedge funds raised net long positions in NYMEX WTI and ICE Brent futures and options by 29,456 and 21,592 contracts, respectively, to 281,244 and 530,237 lots. Brent and Dubai remained in backwardation, while the WTI contango eased. Sweet/sour differentials narrowed in Asia and Europe, but widened on the US Gulf Coast.
World Economy
The global economic growth dynamic has continued its momentum, with the forecast for 2017 revised up to 3.7%, from 3.6% in last month’s report. Similarly, the 2018 forecast has been adjusted higher as well to stand at 3.7%, compared to 3.5% in the previous month. Particularly OECD economic growth in 2017 was better than expected so far. The OECD is seen growing by upwardly revised 2.3% in 2017 and 2.2% in 2018. Good momentum – and a potential tax reform – in the US, the ongoing dynamic in the Euro-zone and to some extent in Japan, solid growth in China and India and an improving situation in Russia and Brazil are supporting the growth trend in the short-term.
World Oil Demand
World oil demand growth is expected to rise by 1.53 mb/d in 2017 after an upward adjustment of 74 tb/d to account for the better-than-expected performance of China in 3Q17. In 2018, world oil demand is foreseen reaching 1.51 mb/d, around 130 tb/d higher than in the previous assessment.
World Oil Supply
Non-OPEC oil supply is now projected to grow by 0.65 mb/d y-o-y in 2017, representing a downward revision of 0.02 mb/d from last month’s report. For 2018, growth in non-OPEC oil supply has also been revised down by 0.07 mb/d to stand at 0.87 mb/d. OPEC NGLs and non-conventional liquids are expected to grow by 0.18 mb/d in 2018, following an increase of 0.17 mb/d in 2017. In October 2017, OPEC crude oil production decreased by 151 tb/d, according to secondary sources, to average 32.59 mb/d.
Product Markets and Refining Operations
Product markets in the Atlantic Basin weakened in October due to seasonally-lower gasoline demand following the end of US driving season. Nonetheless, US refining margins have exhibited some improvement y-o-y on the back of firm product demand and amid low stock levels. In Europe, solid middle-of-the-barrel demand offset weakness at the top and bottom. Product markets in Asia also weakened slightly, but remained at healthy levels, supported by the onset of refinery maintenance.
Tanker Market
Sentiment in the dirty tanker market generally strengthened in October, as freight rates for different classes showed improvements on most major trading routes. Average dirty tanker spot freight rates rose 16% compared to the previous month, on the back of improved seasonal tonnage demand, as well as port and weather delays, among other factors. Despite healthy gains in October, the shipping market remains in surplus, capping further increases in spot freight rates. Meanwhile, clean tanker freight rates experienced a relative decline, although remaining above the levels of the same month last year.
Stock Movements
Total OECD commercial oil stocks fell in September to stand at 2,985 mb. At this level, OECD commercial oil stocks are 154 mb above the latest five-year average. Crude and products stocks indicated a surplus of around 129 mb and 25 mb, respectively, above the seasonal norm. In terms of days of forward cover, OECD commercial stocks stood at 62.3 days in September, some 1.9 days higher than the latest five-year average.
Balance of Supply and Demand
Based on the current global oil supply/demand balance, OPEC crude in 2017 is estimated at 33.0 mb/d, around 0.71 mb/d higher than in 2016. OPEC crude in 2018 is estimated at 33.4 mb/d, about 0.46 mb/d higher than in 2017.
Source: OPEC
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Tuesday, 03 October 17
ALLIED MARKET ANALYSIS
It seems as though the future of the oil trade was once again put into the spotlight, as the Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference took place last week ...
Friday, 29 September 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DROPS FOR THE FIFTH WEEK IN A ROW, EIA DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 14.7 million short ...
Thursday, 28 September 17
SUPRAMAX: S.CHINA TRIP TO INDIA HAS BEEN FIXED AT AROUND US$ 11000 - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
The hot market seen the last weeks in the Pacific has softened as the Golden week holiday in China approaches and the October shipments ...
Thursday, 28 September 17
THE 'UNREASONABLE' COST OF CASUALTY REPAIRS: ASSOCIATION OF AVERAGE ADJUSTERS CHAIRMAN DETAILS CLAIMS DILEMMAS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The ‘unreasonable’ cost of casualty repairs: Association of Average Adjusters chairman details claims dilemma ...
Thursday, 28 September 17
CHINESE GOVERNMENT TO CANCEL DOMESTIC IRON ORE MINING RIGHTS - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
It has been reported that China will cancel roughly one third of its iron ore mining licenses, says Commodore Research & Consultancy in its lat ...
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Showing 1926 to 1930 news of total 6871 |
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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