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Tuesday, 14 November 17
IN 2018, WORLD OIL DEMAND IS FORESEEN REACHING 1.51 MB/D - OPEC
Oil Market Highlights - OPEC
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $55.50/b in October, gaining $2.06 over the previous month and reaching the highest value in more than two-and-a-half years, with a year-to-date average of $50.68/b. Crude futures also reached levels not seen since mid-2015. ICE Brent ended $2.13 higher at $57.65/b, while NYMEX WTI increased $1.72, reaching $51.59/b, keeping the Brent-WTI spread above $6/b. Prices have been supported by rising global demand data and expectations that major producing nations will extend a deal to adjust output and bring the oil market to a balance. Hedge funds raised net long positions in NYMEX WTI and ICE Brent futures and options by 29,456 and 21,592 contracts, respectively, to 281,244 and 530,237 lots. Brent and Dubai remained in backwardation, while the WTI contango eased. Sweet/sour differentials narrowed in Asia and Europe, but widened on the US Gulf Coast.
World Economy
The global economic growth dynamic has continued its momentum, with the forecast for 2017 revised up to 3.7%, from 3.6% in last month’s report. Similarly, the 2018 forecast has been adjusted higher as well to stand at 3.7%, compared to 3.5% in the previous month. Particularly OECD economic growth in 2017 was better than expected so far. The OECD is seen growing by upwardly revised 2.3% in 2017 and 2.2% in 2018. Good momentum – and a potential tax reform – in the US, the ongoing dynamic in the Euro-zone and to some extent in Japan, solid growth in China and India and an improving situation in Russia and Brazil are supporting the growth trend in the short-term.
World Oil Demand
World oil demand growth is expected to rise by 1.53 mb/d in 2017 after an upward adjustment of 74 tb/d to account for the better-than-expected performance of China in 3Q17. In 2018, world oil demand is foreseen reaching 1.51 mb/d, around 130 tb/d higher than in the previous assessment.
World Oil Supply
Non-OPEC oil supply is now projected to grow by 0.65 mb/d y-o-y in 2017, representing a downward revision of 0.02 mb/d from last month’s report. For 2018, growth in non-OPEC oil supply has also been revised down by 0.07 mb/d to stand at 0.87 mb/d. OPEC NGLs and non-conventional liquids are expected to grow by 0.18 mb/d in 2018, following an increase of 0.17 mb/d in 2017. In October 2017, OPEC crude oil production decreased by 151 tb/d, according to secondary sources, to average 32.59 mb/d.
Product Markets and Refining Operations
Product markets in the Atlantic Basin weakened in October due to seasonally-lower gasoline demand following the end of US driving season. Nonetheless, US refining margins have exhibited some improvement y-o-y on the back of firm product demand and amid low stock levels. In Europe, solid middle-of-the-barrel demand offset weakness at the top and bottom. Product markets in Asia also weakened slightly, but remained at healthy levels, supported by the onset of refinery maintenance.
Tanker Market
Sentiment in the dirty tanker market generally strengthened in October, as freight rates for different classes showed improvements on most major trading routes. Average dirty tanker spot freight rates rose 16% compared to the previous month, on the back of improved seasonal tonnage demand, as well as port and weather delays, among other factors. Despite healthy gains in October, the shipping market remains in surplus, capping further increases in spot freight rates. Meanwhile, clean tanker freight rates experienced a relative decline, although remaining above the levels of the same month last year.
Stock Movements
Total OECD commercial oil stocks fell in September to stand at 2,985 mb. At this level, OECD commercial oil stocks are 154 mb above the latest five-year average. Crude and products stocks indicated a surplus of around 129 mb and 25 mb, respectively, above the seasonal norm. In terms of days of forward cover, OECD commercial stocks stood at 62.3 days in September, some 1.9 days higher than the latest five-year average.
Balance of Supply and Demand
Based on the current global oil supply/demand balance, OPEC crude in 2017 is estimated at 33.0 mb/d, around 0.71 mb/d higher than in 2016. OPEC crude in 2018 is estimated at 33.4 mb/d, about 0.46 mb/d higher than in 2017.
Source: OPEC
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Wednesday, 15 November 17
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
For another week, oil seems to be the most volatile and interesting commodity to watch. In this segment we’ll look at some of the major facto ...
Tuesday, 14 November 17
COAL STOCKS RUN SHORT, CENTRE TO GET DAILY UPDATE ON STOCKS - DECCAN CHRONICLE
Facing a shortage of coal for thermal power generation in the country, the Central Electricity Authority (CEA) has issued guidelines for maintainin ...
Monday, 13 November 17
THERMAL COAL PRICES WERE RELATIVELY UNCHANGED - DANIEL HYNES
Coal prices were broadly higher, driven by strong gains in the metallurgical coal market said Daniel Hynes, Senior Commodity Strategist at ANZ in h ...
Monday, 13 November 17
THIESS AWARDED $300M SANGATTA EXPANSION CONTRACT
Thiess has been awarded a $300 million contract by Kaltim Prima Coal (KPC) to expand operations at Sangatta coal mine in East Kalimantan, Indonesia ...
Friday, 10 November 17
U.S. COAL OUTPUT FOR THE FIRST 10 MONTHS OF 2017 IS ESTIMATED AT AROUND 656 MMST; UP10% YOY - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15 million short tons ...
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Showing 1881 to 1885 news of total 6871 |
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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