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Tuesday, 14 November 17
IN 2018, WORLD OIL DEMAND IS FORESEEN REACHING 1.51 MB/D - OPEC
Oil Market Highlights - OPEC
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $55.50/b in October, gaining $2.06 over the previous month and reaching the highest value in more than two-and-a-half years, with a year-to-date average of $50.68/b. Crude futures also reached levels not seen since mid-2015. ICE Brent ended $2.13 higher at $57.65/b, while NYMEX WTI increased $1.72, reaching $51.59/b, keeping the Brent-WTI spread above $6/b. Prices have been supported by rising global demand data and expectations that major producing nations will extend a deal to adjust output and bring the oil market to a balance. Hedge funds raised net long positions in NYMEX WTI and ICE Brent futures and options by 29,456 and 21,592 contracts, respectively, to 281,244 and 530,237 lots. Brent and Dubai remained in backwardation, while the WTI contango eased. Sweet/sour differentials narrowed in Asia and Europe, but widened on the US Gulf Coast.
World Economy
The global economic growth dynamic has continued its momentum, with the forecast for 2017 revised up to 3.7%, from 3.6% in last month’s report. Similarly, the 2018 forecast has been adjusted higher as well to stand at 3.7%, compared to 3.5% in the previous month. Particularly OECD economic growth in 2017 was better than expected so far. The OECD is seen growing by upwardly revised 2.3% in 2017 and 2.2% in 2018. Good momentum – and a potential tax reform – in the US, the ongoing dynamic in the Euro-zone and to some extent in Japan, solid growth in China and India and an improving situation in Russia and Brazil are supporting the growth trend in the short-term.
World Oil Demand
World oil demand growth is expected to rise by 1.53 mb/d in 2017 after an upward adjustment of 74 tb/d to account for the better-than-expected performance of China in 3Q17. In 2018, world oil demand is foreseen reaching 1.51 mb/d, around 130 tb/d higher than in the previous assessment.
World Oil Supply
Non-OPEC oil supply is now projected to grow by 0.65 mb/d y-o-y in 2017, representing a downward revision of 0.02 mb/d from last month’s report. For 2018, growth in non-OPEC oil supply has also been revised down by 0.07 mb/d to stand at 0.87 mb/d. OPEC NGLs and non-conventional liquids are expected to grow by 0.18 mb/d in 2018, following an increase of 0.17 mb/d in 2017. In October 2017, OPEC crude oil production decreased by 151 tb/d, according to secondary sources, to average 32.59 mb/d.
Product Markets and Refining Operations
Product markets in the Atlantic Basin weakened in October due to seasonally-lower gasoline demand following the end of US driving season. Nonetheless, US refining margins have exhibited some improvement y-o-y on the back of firm product demand and amid low stock levels. In Europe, solid middle-of-the-barrel demand offset weakness at the top and bottom. Product markets in Asia also weakened slightly, but remained at healthy levels, supported by the onset of refinery maintenance.
Tanker Market
Sentiment in the dirty tanker market generally strengthened in October, as freight rates for different classes showed improvements on most major trading routes. Average dirty tanker spot freight rates rose 16% compared to the previous month, on the back of improved seasonal tonnage demand, as well as port and weather delays, among other factors. Despite healthy gains in October, the shipping market remains in surplus, capping further increases in spot freight rates. Meanwhile, clean tanker freight rates experienced a relative decline, although remaining above the levels of the same month last year.
Stock Movements
Total OECD commercial oil stocks fell in September to stand at 2,985 mb. At this level, OECD commercial oil stocks are 154 mb above the latest five-year average. Crude and products stocks indicated a surplus of around 129 mb and 25 mb, respectively, above the seasonal norm. In terms of days of forward cover, OECD commercial stocks stood at 62.3 days in September, some 1.9 days higher than the latest five-year average.
Balance of Supply and Demand
Based on the current global oil supply/demand balance, OPEC crude in 2017 is estimated at 33.0 mb/d, around 0.71 mb/d higher than in 2016. OPEC crude in 2018 is estimated at 33.4 mb/d, about 0.46 mb/d higher than in 2017.
Source: OPEC
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Wednesday, 15 November 17
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
For another week, oil seems to be the most volatile and interesting commodity to watch. In this segment we’ll look at some of the major facto ...
Tuesday, 14 November 17
COAL STOCKS RUN SHORT, CENTRE TO GET DAILY UPDATE ON STOCKS - DECCAN CHRONICLE
Facing a shortage of coal for thermal power generation in the country, the Central Electricity Authority (CEA) has issued guidelines for maintainin ...
Monday, 13 November 17
THERMAL COAL PRICES WERE RELATIVELY UNCHANGED - DANIEL HYNES
Coal prices were broadly higher, driven by strong gains in the metallurgical coal market said Daniel Hynes, Senior Commodity Strategist at ANZ in h ...
Monday, 13 November 17
THIESS AWARDED $300M SANGATTA EXPANSION CONTRACT
Thiess has been awarded a $300 million contract by Kaltim Prima Coal (KPC) to expand operations at Sangatta coal mine in East Kalimantan, Indonesia ...
Friday, 10 November 17
U.S. COAL OUTPUT FOR THE FIRST 10 MONTHS OF 2017 IS ESTIMATED AT AROUND 656 MMST; UP10% YOY - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15 million short tons ...
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Showing 1881 to 1885 news of total 6871 |
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Planning Commission, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PTC India Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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