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Wednesday, 01 November 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
IntermodalAs it was expected, the strong dry bulk freight market of the past couple of months has inspired similar activity in the second-hand market. Nonetheless, we witness that asset prices have not increased as much as someone would expect given the strong enthusiasm out there. Instead, they have slightly scaled back and steadied at improved compared to a year ago but not excessive levels. Despite the fact that the number of owners inspecting each candidate is admittedly increased, we don’t see excessive competition among them, the kind of competition that would help prices shoot up.  This has kept some ages/sizes of vessels at price levels well below that average of the past five years.

Panamax prices have covered most of the ground up to their five year average levels. Representative of this is the 10-yr old M/V Coral Topaz (76kdwt, blt ‘07 Sasebo – SS/DD due) currently negotiated at region USD14.0, a price implying a small premium on the USD 14.0m fetched by the M/V Ocean Antwerp (76kdwt, blt’07 Imabari – SS/DD passed) given that the future owner of the Coral Topaz will have to bear the imminent dry docking cost.

Supramax values are even more intriguing, specifically in the 5-yr and 10-yr age ranges that are still well discounted compared to their respective five year average levels. The M/V Neptune Pioneer (56kdwt, blt’07 Mitsui – SS/DD passed) was committed 10 days ago at USD12.7m, 15% lower than the respective five year average.

Handies are the most discounted across all ages. The M/V IVS Kite (32kdwt, blt’02 Kanda – SS/DD passed) was reported sold last week at USD6.7m, 19% lower compared to the respective five year average price.

It goes without saying that a comparison to five-year average prices on its own is not enough in helping determine whether a vessel is cheap, a bargain or expensive. Buyers’ pricing perception is also shaped by freight expectations, size/sector fundamentals etc. but the discount compared to the five year average amidst decent earnings, does give an indication of whether the SnP market has gotten ahead of itself and this doesn’t seem to be the case in this instance. Additionally, although buying interest is more Panamax oriented at the moment, 5-yr old Supras and 5-yr/ 10-yr old Handies are attractive for two reasons; one being the aforementioned discounts and second the stronger resistance these sizes will demonstrate in a possible market correction down the line.
By  Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
 
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.


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