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Tuesday, 22 September 09
AUSTRALIA SEES HIGHER ASIAN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS
 * Asia '09 imports to rise 3.5%, vs pvs f'cast of 3.3% fall
* Asia 2010 thermal coal imports expected to rise 6.3 pct
* China to become net importer of thermal coal in 2009
Reuters reported that, Strong demand for thermal coal in China and India will help Asia avoid the first fall in imports for a decade this year, and push import growth even higher in 2010, an Australian government forecast showed on Tuesday.
In an updated quarterly forecast, the Australian Bureau for Agriculture and Resource Economics (ABARE) said demand for imported coal in Asia would rise by 13.6 milion tonnes, or 3.5 percent, to 401.6 million tonnes in 2009.
This compares with its previous forecast in June for a 3.3 percent fall, which would have been the first decline in at least 10 years.
ABARE, the research body for the world's number two thermal coal exporter, also said Asia's steam coal imports in 2010 would increase by 25.4 million tonnes, or 6.3 percent, to 427 million tonnes, up from its previous estimate of 5.3 percent growth.
Thanks to improved regional demand and new port capacity, ABARE has significantly upgraded Australia's thermal coal exports, estimating it to increase 2.6 percent from a year ago to 140 million tonnes in 2009/10. It had expected Australian exports to fall 6 percent to 122.5 million tonnes in 2009/10 in its June report.
"Over the course of 2009, thermal coal demand in the Atlantic market has been weak, while demand in the Asian market has remained relatively strong, underpinned by increasing imports into China," ABARE said in the report.
Imports from China, the world's largest coal producer and consumer, are expected to jump about 70 percent from a year ago to reach 60 million tonnes in 2009 -- making it a net importer this year by 35 million tonnes, ABARE said. Previously ABARE had said that China, now the world's No. 6 steam coal exporter, would only become a net importer in 2010.
Indian imports are seen rising 24 percent from a year ago to 42 million tonnes in 2009 and reaching 50 million tonnes in 2010, underpinned by the government's plan to double coal-fired electricity generation capacity by 2017.
ABARE also revised up its thermal coal import forecasts by Japan, the world's largest steam coal buyer, estimating a 10 percent fall in 2009 to 115 million tonnes, compared with its June forecast of a 14 percent decline. Japan's thermal coal imports are expected to see little growth in 2010 due to a subdued economic environment and possible higher use of nuclear power, the agency said.
In South Korea, ABARE said growth in the country's steam coal imports is seen slowing in 2010, after a forecast 7 percent increase to 81 million tonnes this year on the back of new coal-fired power plants coming onstream.
"The program to expand coal-fired generation capacity was largely completed in the first half of 2009 and limited new capacity is scheduled to be completed in the near future," it said.
Source: Reuters
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Tuesday, 21 July 09
FIRST QUARTER COAL MARKET AND EURACOAL'S OUTLOOK FOR THE FUTURE
Euracoal reports that for the first time in many years, the world market for hard coal fell by some 8 % during the first quarter 2009. This latest E ...
Monday, 20 July 09
CHINAS COAL DEMAND, OUTPUT TO PICK UP IN H2 - GROUP 2
Financial24 reported that, China's coal demand is expected to gradually pick up in the second half of the year, and coal output will likely grow fa ...
Monday, 20 July 09
ADANI POWER LAUNCHES IPO, AIMS HIGHER CAPACITY
Economic Times reported that, Adani Power Ltd, a power project development company, promoted by Adani Enterprise went for an initial public offering ...
Monday, 20 July 09
BANPU'S SECOND-HALF PROFIT MAY DROP ON COAL PRICES
Bloomberg Reported that, Banpu Pcl, Thailand’s biggest coal producer, expects profit to decline in the second half from the first six months a ...
Monday, 20 July 09
CHINA COAL PRODUCES 52.7 MLN TONNES OF COAL IN 1H, UP 5.4 PCT
China Mining reported that, China Coal Energy Co., the country's second largest coal producer, said Saturday that it produced 52.67 million tonnes ...
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