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Tuesday, 22 September 09
AUSTRALIA SEES HIGHER ASIAN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS
 * Asia '09 imports to rise 3.5%, vs pvs f'cast of 3.3% fall
* Asia 2010 thermal coal imports expected to rise 6.3 pct
* China to become net importer of thermal coal in 2009
Reuters reported that, Strong demand for thermal coal in China and India will help Asia avoid the first fall in imports for a decade this year, and push import growth even higher in 2010, an Australian government forecast showed on Tuesday.
In an updated quarterly forecast, the Australian Bureau for Agriculture and Resource Economics (ABARE) said demand for imported coal in Asia would rise by 13.6 milion tonnes, or 3.5 percent, to 401.6 million tonnes in 2009.
This compares with its previous forecast in June for a 3.3 percent fall, which would have been the first decline in at least 10 years.
ABARE, the research body for the world's number two thermal coal exporter, also said Asia's steam coal imports in 2010 would increase by 25.4 million tonnes, or 6.3 percent, to 427 million tonnes, up from its previous estimate of 5.3 percent growth.
Thanks to improved regional demand and new port capacity, ABARE has significantly upgraded Australia's thermal coal exports, estimating it to increase 2.6 percent from a year ago to 140 million tonnes in 2009/10. It had expected Australian exports to fall 6 percent to 122.5 million tonnes in 2009/10 in its June report.
"Over the course of 2009, thermal coal demand in the Atlantic market has been weak, while demand in the Asian market has remained relatively strong, underpinned by increasing imports into China," ABARE said in the report.
Imports from China, the world's largest coal producer and consumer, are expected to jump about 70 percent from a year ago to reach 60 million tonnes in 2009 -- making it a net importer this year by 35 million tonnes, ABARE said. Previously ABARE had said that China, now the world's No. 6 steam coal exporter, would only become a net importer in 2010.
Indian imports are seen rising 24 percent from a year ago to 42 million tonnes in 2009 and reaching 50 million tonnes in 2010, underpinned by the government's plan to double coal-fired electricity generation capacity by 2017.
ABARE also revised up its thermal coal import forecasts by Japan, the world's largest steam coal buyer, estimating a 10 percent fall in 2009 to 115 million tonnes, compared with its June forecast of a 14 percent decline. Japan's thermal coal imports are expected to see little growth in 2010 due to a subdued economic environment and possible higher use of nuclear power, the agency said.
In South Korea, ABARE said growth in the country's steam coal imports is seen slowing in 2010, after a forecast 7 percent increase to 81 million tonnes this year on the back of new coal-fired power plants coming onstream.
"The program to expand coal-fired generation capacity was largely completed in the first half of 2009 and limited new capacity is scheduled to be completed in the near future," it said.
Source: Reuters
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Friday, 07 August 09
COAL-PRICE FORECAST RAISED AT MERRILL ON CHINA, INDIA DEMAND
Bloomberg reported that, Bank of America Corp.’s Merrill Lynch & Co. unit increased its price forecast for Asian power-station coal becaus ...
Friday, 07 August 09
CHINESE DEMAND FOR FOREIGN COAL SOARS
Mining Weekly reported that, Chinese coal imports rocketed by 126,3%, year-on-year, in the first half of this year, the country’s customs auth ...
Thursday, 06 August 09
RICHARDS BAY COAL SHIPMENTS FELL 3% ON YEAR IN JULY
Bloomberg reported that, Richards Bay Coal Terminal, Africa’s largest coal-export facility, exported 3 percent less of the fuel in July than i ...
Thursday, 06 August 09
NTPC LOOKS TO BYPASS STATE TRADING FIRMS ON COAL IMPORT
A reduced coal import bill for NTPC could lead to lower power tariffs
Live mint.com reported that, India’s largest power generation utility ...
Thursday, 06 August 09
CHINA JULY COAL IMPORTS AT 9.5 MLN T, DEMAND FIRM
* Coal imports at key ports in July 2.8 times year-ago levels
* July coal imports down nearly 40 percent from June
* China still buying overseas c ...
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