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Tuesday, 22 September 09
AUSTRALIA SEES HIGHER ASIAN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS
 * Asia '09 imports to rise 3.5%, vs pvs f'cast of 3.3% fall
* Asia 2010 thermal coal imports expected to rise 6.3 pct
* China to become net importer of thermal coal in 2009
Reuters reported that, Strong demand for thermal coal in China and India will help Asia avoid the first fall in imports for a decade this year, and push import growth even higher in 2010, an Australian government forecast showed on Tuesday.
In an updated quarterly forecast, the Australian Bureau for Agriculture and Resource Economics (ABARE) said demand for imported coal in Asia would rise by 13.6 milion tonnes, or 3.5 percent, to 401.6 million tonnes in 2009.
This compares with its previous forecast in June for a 3.3 percent fall, which would have been the first decline in at least 10 years.
ABARE, the research body for the world's number two thermal coal exporter, also said Asia's steam coal imports in 2010 would increase by 25.4 million tonnes, or 6.3 percent, to 427 million tonnes, up from its previous estimate of 5.3 percent growth.
Thanks to improved regional demand and new port capacity, ABARE has significantly upgraded Australia's thermal coal exports, estimating it to increase 2.6 percent from a year ago to 140 million tonnes in 2009/10. It had expected Australian exports to fall 6 percent to 122.5 million tonnes in 2009/10 in its June report.
"Over the course of 2009, thermal coal demand in the Atlantic market has been weak, while demand in the Asian market has remained relatively strong, underpinned by increasing imports into China," ABARE said in the report.
Imports from China, the world's largest coal producer and consumer, are expected to jump about 70 percent from a year ago to reach 60 million tonnes in 2009 -- making it a net importer this year by 35 million tonnes, ABARE said. Previously ABARE had said that China, now the world's No. 6 steam coal exporter, would only become a net importer in 2010.
Indian imports are seen rising 24 percent from a year ago to 42 million tonnes in 2009 and reaching 50 million tonnes in 2010, underpinned by the government's plan to double coal-fired electricity generation capacity by 2017.
ABARE also revised up its thermal coal import forecasts by Japan, the world's largest steam coal buyer, estimating a 10 percent fall in 2009 to 115 million tonnes, compared with its June forecast of a 14 percent decline. Japan's thermal coal imports are expected to see little growth in 2010 due to a subdued economic environment and possible higher use of nuclear power, the agency said.
In South Korea, ABARE said growth in the country's steam coal imports is seen slowing in 2010, after a forecast 7 percent increase to 81 million tonnes this year on the back of new coal-fired power plants coming onstream.
"The program to expand coal-fired generation capacity was largely completed in the first half of 2009 and limited new capacity is scheduled to be completed in the near future," it said.
Source: Reuters
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Tuesday, 20 October 09
RECAPITAL SET TO BUY INDONESIA'S BERAU COAL - SOURCES
* COULD PAY AT LEAST $1.3 BLN FOR BERAU - SOURCES
* RECAPITAL CONFIRMS IT HAS BID FOR BERAU
* BAKRIE GROUP LIKELY TO BACK BID – SOURCES
...
Tuesday, 20 October 09
COAL PRICES TO SURGE IN 2010 DESPITE AMPLE SUPPLY
Commodity Online reported that, Coal prices are indeed destined to go higher as they follow the rise of ‘coal currencies’ such as Austra ...
Tuesday, 20 October 09
INDIA MAY CUT STAKE IN NTPC BY DECEMBER, POWER SECRETARY SAYS
Bloomberg reported that, India’s government may sell a 5 percent stake in NTPC Ltd., the country’s biggest power producer, as early as D ...
Monday, 19 October 09
COAL PRICE UP AGAIN - RICHARDS BAY TERMINAL
Export prices rose 45 cents, or 0.7%, to an average of 64.05 a metric ton in the week ended Oct. 16, according to McCloskey Group.
The week was & ...
Monday, 19 October 09
COAL MINISTRY SEEKS EXPLANATION FROM AP GENCO
The Hindu Business reported that, the Coal Ministry has asked the Power Generation Corporation of Andhra Pradesh (AP Genco) to explain why there was ...
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