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Wednesday, 13 September 17
SOME THOUGHTS ON NORTH KOREA, US & CHINA - THEODORE NTALAKOS
 The trade volume between North Korea and China is more than $5 billion per year. 83% of North Korea's exports end up in China; similarly, about 85% of the nation’s imports come from China. The rest of the trade is with countries like India, Russia, Pakistan, Thailand, and Mexico. Although Russia's trade with North Korea is marginal, total volume being less than $100 million, it should not be disregarded as Russia will not lose out on the opportunity to strengthen its own influence on North Korea as China's role diminishes. So, it was important for the USA to convince both China and Russia to agree to the trade restrictions in order to put pressure on North Korea.
From a Chinese perspective, Russia is needed to be onboard as the country has seen its own political influence over North Korea weakening. So the possibility that Russia would benefit from the Chinese trade reduction would give Beijing second thoughts about how aggressive to be on their pressure to Pyongyang. Although China has slashed coal imports from North Korea, the overall trade has risen in the first half of 2017 mostly from textile exports, in order to compensate and not lose out on total trade volumes. Now, the new sanctions approved by the U.N. Security Council target imports of refined oil products and textile exports. According to data from Bloomberg, the new measures would cut North Korean exports by 90%. This puts pressure on China but it also assures that Russia will be unable to exploit the situation to pursue its own economic or geopolitical visions.
The power-game around the Korean peninsula is huge, some analysts even warn that amidst the threats between the United States and North Korea and the ongoing nuclear missile tests, there is a risk of dragging the US into a war with China. China will not tolerate a unified Korea under the US influence or control. They did not put up with that in 1950, when Kim Jong Un's grandfather led an attack into South Korean and when the country had a fraction of the power it has now, so it is not probable that they will tolerate it now that they are a super power. So while the U.S. may have the means to destroy the N. Korean regime either by a full-scale military attack or only by targeting its people, the question “what about China?” has not been addressed yet. On the other hand, China also needs to make sure that it doesn't give out too much, as this would send the wrong message to the U.S.
Confused yet? It looks like a diplomatic labyrinth but there is no other way than through diplomatic talks to prevent the situation from worsening but also to de-escalate the tension and the war talks. We can only hope that the dark scenarios remain just discussions between analysts and academics. Otherwise, the effects will be catastrophic with a lot of human suffering.
As far as our shipping industry is concerned, China has been importing annually about $1 billion worth of mineral products from N. Korea. So, when back in February Beijing decided to ban all imports of North Korean coal, we can only assume that these imports should come from other sources increasing the ton-mile and giving its incremental contribution to the recovery of the shipping indexes. This combined with other economic policy from China on iron ore and coal imports, the better than expected data on world trade growth for 2017 and the improving order-book to trading fleet ratio has put the long-awaited recovery on the horizon.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 01 September 17
U.S COAL OUTPUT DIPS WEEK OVER WEEK, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.7 million short ton ...
Thursday, 31 August 17
SUPRAMAX: INDO TO CHINA COAL TRIPS AT AROUND $9000, DELIVERY THAILAND - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
A bit slow start to the week with UK holidays on Monday. Still strong rates for cargoes out of Black Sea, where front hauls where done $ ...
Tuesday, 29 August 17
WEEKLY SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
In the aftermath of Hurricane Harvey, one of the worst disasters to hit Texas, we are now looking to get a clearer picture of the possible disrupti ...
Tuesday, 29 August 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUT UP 3.4% WEEK OVER WEEK TO APPROX. 17 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 17 million short tonne ...
Thursday, 24 August 17
SUPRAMAX: LOW $10K FOR INDO COAL TRIPS TO INDIA; AROUND $10K FOR INDO TO CHINA TRIPS - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
This week Supras from the Black Sea on fhaul have seen numerous orders and improving rates.
53-57k dwt vessels have been fixed at e ...
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Showing 1956 to 1960 news of total 6871 |
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
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