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Wednesday, 13 September 17
SOME THOUGHTS ON NORTH KOREA, US & CHINA - THEODORE NTALAKOS
 The trade volume between North Korea and China is more than $5 billion per year. 83% of North Korea's exports end up in China; similarly, about 85% of the nation’s imports come from China. The rest of the trade is with countries like India, Russia, Pakistan, Thailand, and Mexico. Although Russia's trade with North Korea is marginal, total volume being less than $100 million, it should not be disregarded as Russia will not lose out on the opportunity to strengthen its own influence on North Korea as China's role diminishes. So, it was important for the USA to convince both China and Russia to agree to the trade restrictions in order to put pressure on North Korea.
From a Chinese perspective, Russia is needed to be onboard as the country has seen its own political influence over North Korea weakening. So the possibility that Russia would benefit from the Chinese trade reduction would give Beijing second thoughts about how aggressive to be on their pressure to Pyongyang. Although China has slashed coal imports from North Korea, the overall trade has risen in the first half of 2017 mostly from textile exports, in order to compensate and not lose out on total trade volumes. Now, the new sanctions approved by the U.N. Security Council target imports of refined oil products and textile exports. According to data from Bloomberg, the new measures would cut North Korean exports by 90%. This puts pressure on China but it also assures that Russia will be unable to exploit the situation to pursue its own economic or geopolitical visions.
The power-game around the Korean peninsula is huge, some analysts even warn that amidst the threats between the United States and North Korea and the ongoing nuclear missile tests, there is a risk of dragging the US into a war with China. China will not tolerate a unified Korea under the US influence or control. They did not put up with that in 1950, when Kim Jong Un's grandfather led an attack into South Korean and when the country had a fraction of the power it has now, so it is not probable that they will tolerate it now that they are a super power. So while the U.S. may have the means to destroy the N. Korean regime either by a full-scale military attack or only by targeting its people, the question “what about China?” has not been addressed yet. On the other hand, China also needs to make sure that it doesn't give out too much, as this would send the wrong message to the U.S.
Confused yet? It looks like a diplomatic labyrinth but there is no other way than through diplomatic talks to prevent the situation from worsening but also to de-escalate the tension and the war talks. We can only hope that the dark scenarios remain just discussions between analysts and academics. Otherwise, the effects will be catastrophic with a lot of human suffering.
As far as our shipping industry is concerned, China has been importing annually about $1 billion worth of mineral products from N. Korea. So, when back in February Beijing decided to ban all imports of North Korean coal, we can only assume that these imports should come from other sources increasing the ton-mile and giving its incremental contribution to the recovery of the shipping indexes. This combined with other economic policy from China on iron ore and coal imports, the better than expected data on world trade growth for 2017 and the improving order-book to trading fleet ratio has put the long-awaited recovery on the horizon.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 03 October 17
RIO TINTO COMPLETES FIRST FULLY AUTONOMOUS RAIL JOURNEY IN WESTERN AUSTRALIA
Rio Tinto has successfully completed the first fully autonomous rail journey at its iron ore operations in the Pilbara region of Western Australia ...
Tuesday, 03 October 17
ALLIED MARKET ANALYSIS
It seems as though the future of the oil trade was once again put into the spotlight, as the Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference took place last week ...
Friday, 29 September 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DROPS FOR THE FIFTH WEEK IN A ROW, EIA DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 14.7 million short ...
Thursday, 28 September 17
SUPRAMAX: S.CHINA TRIP TO INDIA HAS BEEN FIXED AT AROUND US$ 11000 - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
The hot market seen the last weeks in the Pacific has softened as the Golden week holiday in China approaches and the October shipments ...
Thursday, 28 September 17
THE 'UNREASONABLE' COST OF CASUALTY REPAIRS: ASSOCIATION OF AVERAGE ADJUSTERS CHAIRMAN DETAILS CLAIMS DILEMMAS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The ‘unreasonable’ cost of casualty repairs: Association of Average Adjusters chairman details claims dilemma ...
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Showing 1926 to 1930 news of total 6871 |
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Planning Commission, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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