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Friday, 08 September 17
MIXED SIGNALS ON REFINERY PREPARATIONS FOR 2020 FUEL CHANGES - IBIA
A recent consultancy survey has suggested that some 85% of refiners have not made plans for how to deal with the expected dramatic fall in global demand for high sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) in 2020. However, some refineries have made recent announcements showing that they are making production changes, or are thinking about it.
In July, reports emerged that a new survey conducted by consulting company KBC found only 15% of oil refiners know how they are going to handle the shift in demand associated with the drop in the global sulphur limit for marine fuels from today’s 3.50% to 0.50% at the start of 2020. KBC surveyed refiners across the US, Europe, the Former Soviet Union and South Africa about their attitudes to the upcoming regulation.
A report published by KBC in April this year says the 2020 sulphur limit for marine fuels will likely see more than 2 million barrels per day (b/d) of HSFO become “stranded in the market” as ships shift to low sulphur fuels to comply. The KBC report said industry feedback indicated that maybe 10-15% of ships will have installed scrubbers that will enable them to continue to use HSFO compliantly by 2020.
A key observation in the KBC and several other reports is that refiners need to find an outlet for HSFO because it is an inevitable by-product of refinery operations, and if they cannot dispose of it they will be forced to cut overall production or even shut down. The least complex refineries with a high HSFO yield are most at risk, while complex refineries with fluid catalytic cracking and coking conversion facilities can reduce their HSFO yield to 3% or less of the total output.
The problem facing the refining industry, and by extension the marine fuels industry, is that major refinery conversions to reduce HSFO and produce more low sulphur distillate fuels are costly and take time to implement, meaning big investments that haven’t already been planned and approved are unlikely to be operational in time for 2020. And as the uptake of scrubbers may increase fast after 2020, demand for, and hence the value of HSFO could recover, creating uncertainty for refiners contemplating their options. Other tweaks are possible in the short term, such as using sweet crude oil as feedstock, but it is expected that the price differential between light sweet and heavy sour crude oils will increase.
Meanwhile, some refiners are signalling that they are taking notice of the International Maritime Organization’s decision to implement the 0.50% sulphur limit in 2020, and are planning changes in their production profiles in response to the impact of regulation.
One is the management of the Rheinland refinery in Wesseling, Germany, owned by the oil major Shell. It is currently investigating the possibility of expanding the residue processing plant at this refinery because “the high-sulfur residues used so far for the manufacture of marine fuels will no longer be marketable” as a result of the IMO’s 2020 sulphur regulation.
The refinery, which has an overall annual capacity of around 16-17 million tonnes, has yet to submit formal official documents for these plans but has held initial talks with politicians and environmental associations to present preliminary plans for a potential investment project. It means no detailed information is yet available about the scale, cost and timing of the project and it is uncertain if it will be ready in time for 2020. The refinery management said further talks are planned.
Another refiner, Par Petroleum, has gone public with plans to upgrade its Hawaii refinery to cut HSFO output and produce more high-value ultra low sulphur diesel (ULSD) and jet fuel at the plant. The plan is adding a 10,000 barrels per day diesel hydrotreater at the 93,000 b/d plant, which will reduce fuel oil product yields at the refinery by 4%, CEO Joseph Israel told S&P Global Platts in an interview in early August.
Although the refinery’s HSFO output is mainly used by local power stations to make electricity on Hawaii or shipped to the Far East, the refiner’s decision is linked to expectations of lower demand and a very low price for HSFO from the start of 2020, and better margins for ULSD.
The unit is slated to come online in the first quarter of 2019, and the cost of construction is said to be kept low, at $27 million, because the refinery already has a hydrogen plant with sufficient capacity and is currently making more hydrogen than the refinery uses.
The 2020 sulphur limit is expected to push up demand for low sulphur distillates to blend compliant marine fuels. S&P Global Platts said global demand for ULSD is expected to rise by 3.5 million b/d by 2020.
For the Par refinery, an important consideration for the investment was that the new refinery unit will have the flexibility to switch between making jet fuel or ULSD, depending on the margins at the time. At present, no jet fuel is produced locally, but it accounts for about half of all transportation fuels consumed in Hawaii.
It seems the 2020 sulphur regulation impact is increasingly on the radar for refiners, but while they may struggle to find markets for HSFO that has previously gone into the marine fuel pool in 2020, that does not guarantee that they will focus on producing compliant marine fuels. Some will, if they think the price is right and marine fuels will become a lucrative market, others will focus on inland markets.
by Unni Einemo, IBIA
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Monday, 21 August 17
FIRM DEMAND FOR CAPES CONTINUE TO SUPPORT DRY BULK SHIPPING
COALspot.com: The freight market was continued to rose this past week compared to the previous weeks, as BDI, Cape and Panamax indexes show a posit ...
Friday, 18 August 17
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT UP 2.1% WEEK OVER WEEK, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.5 million short ton ...
Thursday, 17 August 17
DESPITE A HOLIDAY-DISRUPTED WEEK IT HAS BEEN A NEW ACTIVE WEEK FOR THE PANAMAXES - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
A very quiet start to the week with holidays in several countries. USG still bringing good results supported by a tight tonnage availabl ...
Monday, 14 August 17
CENTURIES ON, AND DRY BULK STILL RULES THE WAVES... - SARAH HOLDEN | CLARKSONS
By the late 1800s, the shipping industry had been transformed by the introduction of steam power and iron ships. Coal and grain were two of the mos ...
Monday, 14 August 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUES ON AN UPWARD PATH
COALspot.com: The freight market was continued to rose this past week compared to the previous week, as BDI, Cape and Panamax indexes show a positi ...
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Showing 1966 to 1970 news of total 6871 |
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
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