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Thursday, 07 September 17
CAPESIZE: EARNINGS FOR THE BIG SHIPS KEEP UP NICELY AS DIPS ARE MODERATE AND SHORT-LIVED - FEARNLEYS
PanamaxSupramax
Fewer activities in the Atlantic in start of the week with the US holidays. Owners were asking around low USD 20k for trip ex USG to Far East, while ECSA fronthauls has been fixed around USD 13500+350k bb, says Fearnleys in its latest weekly report.

The Cont and Baltic have been slow with few orders for a while and the usual scrap runs to E. Med pays owners around USD 10k. The last month before rain season comes to Philippines and the nickel ore market is becoming even hotter, an Ultra open S. China fixed USD 14k and another open Lanshan fixed USD 12.6k. The broker further noted that, the highest rate level seen the last two years. Coal biz follows same trend, with charterers taking vessels from CJK for Indo coal. A Supra fixed 9k dop CJK to Thailand and a 53k open S. China fixed USD 9750 for Indo rv.

Panamax
The Fearnleys analyst further noted It has been an active week for Panamax.

After a period with decreasing rates and low activity, the sentiment has changed substantially and the market is firmer in both hemispheres. Less tonnage and more cargoes in the north Atlantic has pushed the rates upwards and the TA market is priced at 10k’s right now, while FH are being fixed in the 18 to 20k’s depending on duration.

The activity out of the US Gulf and South America has been a key feature to keep the momentum. More activity in the Pacific has pushed the rates for a transpacific RV to mid 10k’s, while trips from Singapore via ECSA with redel FE being fixed at around 13k’s. FFA's, Sep is priced at mid 11k’s, while Oct is priced at high 12k’s on the P4TC index.

Capesize
Commenting on Cape, the Oslo based Fearnleys says, earnings for the big ships keep up nicely as dips are moderate and short-lived. Coal and iron ore volumes from main areas Australia, South Africa and Brazil all appear robust, which combined with a modest presence of prompt units give close to market equilibrium and reason for continued short-term improvements.

Average daily income was up some 8% w-o-w, coming in at close to USD 18,500. FFA values is still do not support for long period, with levels presently in backwardation territory. Activity/focus is thus for shorter deals - exemplified by 178,000 dwt/built 2017 open China mid Sept done for 4-6 months at USD 17700, also 208,000 dwt/built 2011 open China prompt fetching USD 20,000 basis 2-6 months from majors.


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