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Wednesday, 10 May 17
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Up until a few weeks ago, demo deals were being concluded at just a fraction below $400/ldt. Last time we saw demo prices around that level was in May 2015. But over the past few weeks, the scene has completely changed. There is an apparent lack of demolition candidates, while demo prices in the Indian subcontinent have lost over $30/ldt on average during the same period. Bangladesh and Pakistan were competing quite strongly offering a small premium over India’s Alang prices. However, the recent heavy decline in local steel plate prices has forced most end buyers to reduce their offering price.
In view of the restocking ahead of the monsoon season in late May –June and the annual budgets in Pakistan and Bangladesh during the same period, we remain to see if rumors of any new duties/taxes will come into effect for the respective domestic ship-recycling sectors, and how such developments will affect scrap buyers appetite.
We have to keep in mind that at the moment only Bangladesh and India can cut gas free and clean for hot works tanker vessels, as after the fatal accidents that took place in Pakistan earlier this year, there is still a total ban on the demolition of all wet units in the country.
Scrap prices are mainly dictated by steel demand and steel prices and these are subsequently affected by iron ore commodity prices. Iron ore prices had climbed from below $60/ton in Oct 2016 to approximately $96/ton in February this year. Since then, the price of the commodity has constantly dropped to settle at low $60/ton levels and at the end of last week when a full-scale retreat took place, with futures in China, Dalian Iron Ore witnessing a limit down on investor concern in regards to demand outlook.
It seems that the deleveraging of China's $4 trillion shadow banking system just accelerated massively as Bank Wealth Product Issuance crashed 15% month-over-month. With stocks and bonds already plunging, commodities joined the decline that came after tightened regulation on macro-prudential assessment and interbank business. According to the China Iron and Steel Association, there is still room for iron ore to decline further amid oversupply with imports and port stockpiles remaining at high levels that further support oversupply.
Over the past months, Capes and Panamaxes freight rates increased significantly by demand for more shipments, together with record steel production in China, and that has helped boost stockpiles at local ports. After peaking at a record 132.5 million tons in March, stockpiles have held near that level, according to Shanghai Steelhome E-Commerce Co.
Since the end of March though the BCI has lost more than 1,100 points and the average earnings quoted by the Baltic Exchange have dropped from $20,650/day to $12,446/day today. Is it time to panic? The reality is that we are still way above the $1,985/day the big bulkers were earning in March 2016, but signs are indicating a slowdown in demand that inevitably always leads to pressure on earnings. As we are all waiting to see how long will this pressure last, all hopes for sustained positive sentiment in the dry bulk market have now been placed on the grains trade that could potentially make up for some of the lost momentum due to the slowdown Capesizes are currently witnessing.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 17 November 16
FROTHY THERMAL COAL PRICES POINT TO DOWNSIDE PRESSURES IN 2017 - FITCH
Fitch Ratings says in an Outlook Report that the Asian thermal coal industry will remain under pressure in 2017 due to more-than-adequate capacity ...
Thursday, 17 November 16
CHINA STEEL EXPORTS TO REMAIN HIGH IN 2017, FITCH SAYS
Fitch Ratings expects Chinese steel exports to remain at around 100 million metric tons (Mt) in 2017, due to flat 'apparent' consumption an ...
Wednesday, 16 November 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT
Going through a relatively interesting second half of the year so far in the ship repair sector, we are experiencing a volatile climate of differen ...
Tuesday, 15 November 16
CHINA, FOR MANY YEARS NOW HAS SERVED AS A MAJOR GROWTH ENGINE FOR ASIA - ALLIED SHIPPING RESEARCH
It’s been a turbulent couple of days after the announcement of the U.S. Presidential results in the early hours of Wednesday.
After week ...
Monday, 14 November 16
KOMIPO'S SEOCHEON POWER PLANT TO IMPORT 240,000 MT OF SEMI / ANTHRACITE COAL FOR Q1'17
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender for 240K mt of Semi-Anthracite and Anthracite Coal f ...
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- White Energy Company Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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