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Wednesday, 10 May 17
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Up until a few weeks ago, demo deals were being concluded at just a fraction below $400/ldt. Last time we saw demo prices around that level was in May 2015. But over the past few weeks, the scene has completely changed. There is an apparent lack of demolition candidates, while demo prices in the Indian subcontinent have lost over $30/ldt on average during the same period. Bangladesh and Pakistan were competing quite strongly offering a small premium over India’s Alang prices. However, the recent heavy decline in local steel plate prices has forced most end buyers to reduce their offering price.
In view of the restocking ahead of the monsoon season in late May –June and the annual budgets in Pakistan and Bangladesh during the same period, we remain to see if rumors of any new duties/taxes will come into effect for the respective domestic ship-recycling sectors, and how such developments will affect scrap buyers appetite.
We have to keep in mind that at the moment only Bangladesh and India can cut gas free and clean for hot works tanker vessels, as after the fatal accidents that took place in Pakistan earlier this year, there is still a total ban on the demolition of all wet units in the country.
Scrap prices are mainly dictated by steel demand and steel prices and these are subsequently affected by iron ore commodity prices. Iron ore prices had climbed from below $60/ton in Oct 2016 to approximately $96/ton in February this year. Since then, the price of the commodity has constantly dropped to settle at low $60/ton levels and at the end of last week when a full-scale retreat took place, with futures in China, Dalian Iron Ore witnessing a limit down on investor concern in regards to demand outlook.
It seems that the deleveraging of China's $4 trillion shadow banking system just accelerated massively as Bank Wealth Product Issuance crashed 15% month-over-month. With stocks and bonds already plunging, commodities joined the decline that came after tightened regulation on macro-prudential assessment and interbank business. According to the China Iron and Steel Association, there is still room for iron ore to decline further amid oversupply with imports and port stockpiles remaining at high levels that further support oversupply.
Over the past months, Capes and Panamaxes freight rates increased significantly by demand for more shipments, together with record steel production in China, and that has helped boost stockpiles at local ports. After peaking at a record 132.5 million tons in March, stockpiles have held near that level, according to Shanghai Steelhome E-Commerce Co.
Since the end of March though the BCI has lost more than 1,100 points and the average earnings quoted by the Baltic Exchange have dropped from $20,650/day to $12,446/day today. Is it time to panic? The reality is that we are still way above the $1,985/day the big bulkers were earning in March 2016, but signs are indicating a slowdown in demand that inevitably always leads to pressure on earnings. As we are all waiting to see how long will this pressure last, all hopes for sustained positive sentiment in the dry bulk market have now been placed on the grains trade that could potentially make up for some of the lost momentum due to the slowdown Capesizes are currently witnessing.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 09 January 17
FFA SUPRAMAX: Q1 AND Q2 TRADING UP TO $7100 WHILE CAL17 PRINTED $7250 - FIS
Capesize
Sentiment has swung quickly on capes and although there appears to be a very short list for open tonnage in the Atlantic Feb dates appea ...
Monday, 09 January 17
COAL MARKETS WERE UNEXPECTEDLY ONE OF THE STRONGEST PERFORMERS OF 2016 - SGX
COALspot.com: Coal markets were unexpectedly one of the strongest performers of 2016, with domestic production restrictions in China as well as sup ...
Monday, 09 January 17
THE INDONESIA COAL BENCHMARK PRICE SLIDES AFTER THE RECENT RALLY
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal benchmark price slides in January 2017 after the recent rally. The government declared benchmark prices for Indone ...
Friday, 06 January 17
U.S. WEEKLY ESTIMATED COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED APPROXIMATELY 12.4 MMST; DOWN 18.4% W/W - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 12.4 million short ton ...
Thursday, 05 January 17
UNCHANGED COAL-FIRED TARIFFS PRESSURE CHINA'S GENERATORS - FITCH
COALspot.com: China's decision to keep on-grid electricity prices from coal-fired power unchanged amid higher coal prices will further squeeze ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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