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Wednesday, 10 May 17
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Up until a few weeks ago, demo deals were being concluded at just a fraction below $400/ldt. Last time we saw demo prices around that level was in May 2015. But over the past few weeks, the scene has completely changed. There is an apparent lack of demolition candidates, while demo prices in the Indian subcontinent have lost over $30/ldt on average during the same period. Bangladesh and Pakistan were competing quite strongly offering a small premium over India’s Alang prices. However, the recent heavy decline in local steel plate prices has forced most end buyers to reduce their offering price.
In view of the restocking ahead of the monsoon season in late May –June and the annual budgets in Pakistan and Bangladesh during the same period, we remain to see if rumors of any new duties/taxes will come into effect for the respective domestic ship-recycling sectors, and how such developments will affect scrap buyers appetite.
We have to keep in mind that at the moment only Bangladesh and India can cut gas free and clean for hot works tanker vessels, as after the fatal accidents that took place in Pakistan earlier this year, there is still a total ban on the demolition of all wet units in the country.
Scrap prices are mainly dictated by steel demand and steel prices and these are subsequently affected by iron ore commodity prices. Iron ore prices had climbed from below $60/ton in Oct 2016 to approximately $96/ton in February this year. Since then, the price of the commodity has constantly dropped to settle at low $60/ton levels and at the end of last week when a full-scale retreat took place, with futures in China, Dalian Iron Ore witnessing a limit down on investor concern in regards to demand outlook.
It seems that the deleveraging of China's $4 trillion shadow banking system just accelerated massively as Bank Wealth Product Issuance crashed 15% month-over-month. With stocks and bonds already plunging, commodities joined the decline that came after tightened regulation on macro-prudential assessment and interbank business. According to the China Iron and Steel Association, there is still room for iron ore to decline further amid oversupply with imports and port stockpiles remaining at high levels that further support oversupply.
Over the past months, Capes and Panamaxes freight rates increased significantly by demand for more shipments, together with record steel production in China, and that has helped boost stockpiles at local ports. After peaking at a record 132.5 million tons in March, stockpiles have held near that level, according to Shanghai Steelhome E-Commerce Co.
Since the end of March though the BCI has lost more than 1,100 points and the average earnings quoted by the Baltic Exchange have dropped from $20,650/day to $12,446/day today. Is it time to panic? The reality is that we are still way above the $1,985/day the big bulkers were earning in March 2016, but signs are indicating a slowdown in demand that inevitably always leads to pressure on earnings. As we are all waiting to see how long will this pressure last, all hopes for sustained positive sentiment in the dry bulk market have now been placed on the grains trade that could potentially make up for some of the lost momentum due to the slowdown Capesizes are currently witnessing.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 04 April 17
THE IRON ORE HAS BEEN ABLE TO KEEP ITS GROWTH PATH FAIRLY WELL; THERE IS STILL ONE PART OF THE WORLD THAT IS STILL HEAVILY COMMITTED TO COAL
With the close of March having let us with a very positive after taste and having witnessed near the end of the month the Baltic Dry Index at its h ...
Monday, 03 April 17
WORLD COAL TRADE STABLE IN 2016: DEMAND SHIFTS TO SOUTH-EAST ASIA - ASSOCARBONI
ASSOCARBONI: Coal confirmed as the leading fuel for electricity generation, accounting for 40% of overall production in 2016.
World coal trade ...
Monday, 03 April 17
DRY BULK RATES CONTINUING TO FIRMING UP
COALspot.com: The Freight market was continuing to firming up. Baltic Panamax Index rose 12.81 percent week over week.
The Baltic Exchang ...
Friday, 31 March 17
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION INCREASE SLIGHTLY WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 14.5 million short tons ...
Thursday, 30 March 17
WHERE AN AGREEMENT FAILS TO DELIVER - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Watson Farley & Williams acted for MRI Trading AG in a leading case on ‘agreements to agree’ that was fin ...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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