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Thursday, 13 April 17
OPEC OVER-DELIVERS ON OIL CUTS, BUT SEES RIVALS' OUTPUT RISING
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $50.32/b in March, representing a decline of 5.7% from the previous month. Crude futures also declined on concerns about growing oil output and high crude inventories in the US. ICE Brent ended 6.2% lower at $52.54/b, while NYMEX WTI decreased 7.1% to $49.67/b. The BrentWTI spread widened to $2.86/b, supporting US crude oil exports. Hedge funds liquidated their large net long positions in crude, contributing to the sharp drop in oil prices.
World Economy
The momentum in global economic growth has been improving resulting in an upward revision in the 2017 forecast to now stand at 3.3% from 3.2% previously, while growth for 2016 remains at 3.0%. OECD growth in 2017 remains at 1.9%, with the US and Euro-zone seeing no revisions. Japan’s 2017 growth forecast was revised up to 1.2% from 1.1% previously. China’s 2017 growth was also revised higher to 6.3% from 6.2%, while India’s forecast remains at 7.0%. Russia’s 2017 growth was revised up to 1.2% from 1.0%, while the forecast for Brazil is unchanged at 0.5%.
World Oil Demand
World oil demand growth in 2016 was kept broadly unchanged at 1.38 mb/d, averaging 95.05 mb/d. For 2017, oil demand growth is anticipated to be around 1.27 mb/d, following an upward revision of 10 mb/d to average 96.32 mb/d. The ‘Other Asia’ group – which includes India – is anticipated to lead oil demand growth in 2017, followed by China and OECD Americas. OECD Asia-Pacific is the only region anticipated to see a decline in oil demand in 2017.
World Oil Supply
Non-OPEC oil supply is estimated to have averaged 57.32 mb/d in 2016, representing a contraction of 0.69 mb/d y-o-y following a minor downward revision of 30 tb/d. In 2017, non-OPEC oil supply is projected to grow by 0.58 mb/d, following an upward revision of 176 tb/d due to higher than expected growth in the US and lesser contractions in Colombia and China, to average 57.89 mb/d. The US supply growth forecast was revised up by 0.20 mb/d to stand at 0.54 mb/d. OPEC NGLs and non-conventional oil production is forecast to grow by 0.13 mb/d in 2017, following growth of 0.14 mb/d in 2016. In March, OPEC production decreased by 153 tb/d, according to secondary sources, to average 31.93 mb/d. Product Markets and
Refining Operations
Product markets exhibited a mixed performance in the Atlantic Basin, as the lack of export opportunities for gasoline amid increasing inflows of middle distillates impacted the European market. Meanwhile, stronger domestic gasoline demand in the US ahead of the transition to summer grades lent strong support to refinery margins. In Asia, the lack of arbitrage amid increasing inflows into the region weighed on the market despite the onset of the spring refinery maintenance season.
Tanker Market
The tanker market showed a mixed pattern in March. VLCCs exhibiting an average decline of 23% m-o-m in spot rates on its various trading routes, as the tonnage availability remained abundant. In contrast, Suezmax and Aframax rates increased m-o-m by 13%, and 6%, respectively, mainly due to transit delays in the Turkish Straits, discharge delays in the east, and occasional tightening in tonnage supply. The market experienced higher monthly freight rates for clean tankers on most reported routes.
Stock Movements
Total OECD commercial oil stocks fell in February to 2,987 mb to now stand 268 mb above the latest five years average. Crude and product stocks indicated a surplus of around 227 mb and 41 mb, respectively. In terms of days of forward cover, OECD commercial stocks stood at 64.2 days, some 4.6 days higher than the latest five-year average Balance of Supply and Demand
Demand for OPEC crude in 2016 now stands at 31.7 mb/d, which is 1.9 mb/d higher than the 2015 level. In 2017, demand for OPEC crude is projected at 32.2 mb/d, around 0.6 mb/d higher than the 2016 level.
Source: OPEC
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Thursday, 02 March 17
ULTRAMAX: INDONESIA TO INDIA COAL ROUNDS IS BEING FIXED AT AROUND MID 11K BSS SINGAPORE DELIVERY - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Holiday mode within Atlantic i.e. very few movements but rates remained still positive, mostly in the USG region where tight tonnage sup ...
Wednesday, 01 March 17
2017 IS LOOKING LIKE IT WILL BE A GOOD YEAR FOR A NUMBER OF COMMODITIES - LINOS KOGEVINAS
2017 is looking like it will be a good year for a number of commodities. Following the price recovery witnessed in 2016 across a number of commodit ...
Tuesday, 28 February 17
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 17.39% LESS COAL IN JANUARY; TRADE VALUE UP 11.87% M/M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1,625.6 M ...
Monday, 27 February 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS FIRMED UP THIS PAST WEEK; BCI ROSE 57.64% W/W
COALspot.com: The Freight market was firmed up this past week.
The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commod ...
Friday, 24 February 17
RUSSIAN OIL AND GAS WITHSTANDS OIL PRICE SHOCK - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says in a new report that the Russian oil and gas sector has withstood the oil price stock of 1H16. Key events of 2016 include record ...
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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