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Wednesday, 29 March 17
MARKET INSIGHT - NASOS SOULAKIS
IntermodalShipowners will always look for market signals in order to gauge market perception and decide upon which strategy to follow next. And while owners investing in the dry bulk market have been particularly busy lately, there is limited interest in the second-hand tanker market, activity in which is about 68% compared to the first quarter of 2016.

‘Sluggishness’ is therefore the defining characteristic used to describe the situation in the tanker SnP market, while in the freight market, rates maintain healthy, well above OPEX levels,  but not high enough to inspire overwhelming positive expectations. This trend has resulted in decreasing asset prices and may well be the window of opportunity for owners wishing to invest in vessels priced at fairly reasonable levels.

Looking into the MR segment, the table below gives a breakdown of values for different asset classes since 2012.

The last done “MARE ACTION” (30,058dwt-blt 05, S. Korea), which was sold for a price close to $10.0m together with the small 15-yr old MR2, basis SS/DD due, which can be fixed close to $8.0m, are indicative of the particularly attractive prices currently prevailing in the sector.

Despite those rather attractive prices in the tanker market though, it is SnP activity in the dry bulk sector that has been monopolizing everyone’s interest lately. However, after consecutive weeks of increasing asset prices and with more than 200 dry bulk SnP deals - ranging from Handies to Capes – at the closing of Q1, there are a few voices now in the market insisting that this rally will gradually show signs of cracking and exhaustion.

The above estimation is based on a couple of things. On one hand potential buyers have gradually started to lose interest in paying todays’ increased levels, thinking this momentum might ease at some point and push prices – even slightly – down.

On the other hand, Sellers seem to be the one in control at the moment, able to set the premium over the last done and consequently asking for significantly higher prices even a few days after the last reported deal. The above market dynamics create a gap in the second hand market that is capable of restricting second hand activity until market perception becomes more accurate with both buyers and sellers re-adopting a more realistic attitude.

To summarize, while the dry bulk and tanker markets may be at different stages of their respective cycles, they both certainly display interest for different reasons nonetheless.
By Nasos Soulakis
SnP Broker
 
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.


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