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Tuesday, 14 March 17
ORDERBOOK-TO-FEET RATIO DECREASING; THE FREIGHT MARKET IMPROVING
 It seems as though the renewed optimism that has arisen from the recent upward trends being noted in the freight market, the dry bulk market has been set alight, said Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
According to George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied, there has been a growing bullish vibe being felt for several months now in this sector, generated by the successive decreases being seen in the orderbook-to-fleet ratio during the course of the past year and all indicators in the freight market pointing to an improved balance. He further noted that the order book to fleet ratio for the dry bulk segment as a whole has now dropped to 7.72%, the lowest figure we have seen in over two decades now. This plays an important role in dissipating concerns over the glut in tonnage supply that we have seen in the market, though this is only half the picture. During the course of 2016, many viewed the excessively low earnings being a directly caused by the excessive number of new buildings being delivered. Having witnessed both the drop in the order book and at the same time a considerable improvement in freight rates, one can easily make the presumption that the supply-demand balance in the market is improving and at a fairly good pace. During the course of 2017, freight rates have held at levels well above what we were seeing back in 2016 and even 2015, while the recent rally that boosted the Baltic Dry Index to above 1,000 points before the start of the grain season in the Atlantic, has only re-enforced the bullish views that have been held by many in this regard.
George Lazaridis further said, it is no surprise therefore that we have seen buyers quickly flocking back into the secondhand market with fears that they will “lose” the opportunities that are still present in the market. Despite the fact that prices have on average risen by around 50% since the low levels of March 2016, asset prices can still be considered to be fairly competitive compared to what we have seen historically since the late 90’s. As such and with earnings now providing the promise of better returns and positive cash flows for new purchases, you can see that there is excess possibility for further price gains to be noted over the coming months. What’s more is that during the time period where we faced some of the biggest difficulties in the freight market, newbuilding prices continued to hold at abnormally high levels compared to equivalent periods in the past. As such secondhand asset prices are at an even higher the normal discount against what it costs to construct a similar vessel. This leaves the conclusion that if earnings continue to stay at “good” levels it will be hard to see similarly low price levels in the future for similarly aged vessels.
All these conclusions are based on the assumption that we have reached a balance in the market and that demand will continue to grow at least at its current momentum, allowing for a continual improvement in the freight market, said George Lazaridis.
This is a fairly big if however, especially if you take a closer look at the volatility being noted in the commodity markets and the general uncertainty being played out in many of those economies that play a vital role in seaborne trade. Further shocks could derail this balance and bring another round of “pains”. Although this does need to be of concern, it seems that even if these negative scenarios play out their consequences to the market would be more minor and short-term then what similar events have caused in the recent past. As such one can’t blame those optimists out there and given the relatively lower risks that are in view, there are fair grounds to claim that opportunities are now much better than most that we have come by in the past 5 years.
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Thursday, 01 September 16
SUPRAMAX GETTING LEVELS OF MID/HIGHER 7K DELIVERY SINGAPORE FOR TRIPS TO CHINA AND AROUND 9K FOR DIRECTION INDIA - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
This week started slower with London on bank holiday Monday. The south east Asian market seems to have been taking a breather with chart ...
Thursday, 01 September 16
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 2.33 PERCENT MORE COAL IN JULY
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1.10 bill ...
Wednesday, 31 August 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET MANAGED TO FIND FURTHER SUPPORT DURING THE LAST DAYS OF THE SUMMER SEASON - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market managed to find further support during the last days of the summer season, with the BDI climbing above 700 last Friday, reachin ...
Tuesday, 30 August 16
THE SUDDEN SURGE IN IRON ORE TRADE HAS CREPT UP ON THE MARKET THIS PAST WEEK - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
The sudden surge in Iron ore trade has crept up on the market this past week bringing about a change in the prospects for Capes. Continued increase ...
Monday, 29 August 16
THE 5000 GAR THERMAL COAL INDEX HAS STRENGTHENED BY 9.90% SINCE JANUARY
COALspot.com: A rally in thermal coal prices over the past few months, after years of decline, is still continuing upward and it is expected to ral ...
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Coal Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
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