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Tuesday, 14 March 17
ORDERBOOK-TO-FEET RATIO DECREASING; THE FREIGHT MARKET IMPROVING
 It seems as though the renewed optimism that has arisen from the recent upward trends being noted in the freight market, the dry bulk market has been set alight, said Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
According to George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied, there has been a growing bullish vibe being felt for several months now in this sector, generated by the successive decreases being seen in the orderbook-to-fleet ratio during the course of the past year and all indicators in the freight market pointing to an improved balance. He further noted that the order book to fleet ratio for the dry bulk segment as a whole has now dropped to 7.72%, the lowest figure we have seen in over two decades now. This plays an important role in dissipating concerns over the glut in tonnage supply that we have seen in the market, though this is only half the picture. During the course of 2016, many viewed the excessively low earnings being a directly caused by the excessive number of new buildings being delivered. Having witnessed both the drop in the order book and at the same time a considerable improvement in freight rates, one can easily make the presumption that the supply-demand balance in the market is improving and at a fairly good pace. During the course of 2017, freight rates have held at levels well above what we were seeing back in 2016 and even 2015, while the recent rally that boosted the Baltic Dry Index to above 1,000 points before the start of the grain season in the Atlantic, has only re-enforced the bullish views that have been held by many in this regard.
George Lazaridis further said, it is no surprise therefore that we have seen buyers quickly flocking back into the secondhand market with fears that they will “lose” the opportunities that are still present in the market. Despite the fact that prices have on average risen by around 50% since the low levels of March 2016, asset prices can still be considered to be fairly competitive compared to what we have seen historically since the late 90’s. As such and with earnings now providing the promise of better returns and positive cash flows for new purchases, you can see that there is excess possibility for further price gains to be noted over the coming months. What’s more is that during the time period where we faced some of the biggest difficulties in the freight market, newbuilding prices continued to hold at abnormally high levels compared to equivalent periods in the past. As such secondhand asset prices are at an even higher the normal discount against what it costs to construct a similar vessel. This leaves the conclusion that if earnings continue to stay at “good” levels it will be hard to see similarly low price levels in the future for similarly aged vessels.
All these conclusions are based on the assumption that we have reached a balance in the market and that demand will continue to grow at least at its current momentum, allowing for a continual improvement in the freight market, said George Lazaridis.
This is a fairly big if however, especially if you take a closer look at the volatility being noted in the commodity markets and the general uncertainty being played out in many of those economies that play a vital role in seaborne trade. Further shocks could derail this balance and bring another round of “pains”. Although this does need to be of concern, it seems that even if these negative scenarios play out their consequences to the market would be more minor and short-term then what similar events have caused in the recent past. As such one can’t blame those optimists out there and given the relatively lower risks that are in view, there are fair grounds to claim that opportunities are now much better than most that we have come by in the past 5 years.
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Thursday, 15 September 16
CAPESIZE: LAST WEEK ENDED ON A VERY STRONG NOTE MAINLY DRIVEN BY A ACTIVE BRAZIL MARKET - FEARNLYS
Supramax
With holidays in the eastern hemisphere beginning this week, the sentiment and activity level has been decreasing.
In the Pacific, ...
Wednesday, 14 September 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET REACHED LEVELS LAST SEEN BACK IN 2015 - INTERMODAL
In an earlier column we commented that we are undergoing “shipping’s new (ab)normal” with constrained financing, shift in demand ...
Wednesday, 14 September 16
THE PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 12.48 MMT OF COAL IN AUGUST; AVERAGE SELLING PRICE WAS $AU 83.33
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU $1,040.4 ...
Tuesday, 13 September 16
CAPESIZE: BIG STRENGTH SEEN IN THE MARKET THIS WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize - Big strength seen in the market this week, with an upbeat in sentiment amongst owners helping pull up rates fairly quickly and many hold ...
Monday, 12 September 16
THE CAPE MARKET HAS GAINS ON WEEK; THE CAPE INDEX SETTLING AT 1566 POINTS ON FRIDAY
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose and ending in a positive note this past week. The BD ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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