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Tuesday, 14 March 17
ORDERBOOK-TO-FEET RATIO DECREASING; THE FREIGHT MARKET IMPROVING
 It seems as though the renewed optimism that has arisen from the recent upward trends being noted in the freight market, the dry bulk market has been set alight, said Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
According to George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied, there has been a growing bullish vibe being felt for several months now in this sector, generated by the successive decreases being seen in the orderbook-to-fleet ratio during the course of the past year and all indicators in the freight market pointing to an improved balance. He further noted that the order book to fleet ratio for the dry bulk segment as a whole has now dropped to 7.72%, the lowest figure we have seen in over two decades now. This plays an important role in dissipating concerns over the glut in tonnage supply that we have seen in the market, though this is only half the picture. During the course of 2016, many viewed the excessively low earnings being a directly caused by the excessive number of new buildings being delivered. Having witnessed both the drop in the order book and at the same time a considerable improvement in freight rates, one can easily make the presumption that the supply-demand balance in the market is improving and at a fairly good pace. During the course of 2017, freight rates have held at levels well above what we were seeing back in 2016 and even 2015, while the recent rally that boosted the Baltic Dry Index to above 1,000 points before the start of the grain season in the Atlantic, has only re-enforced the bullish views that have been held by many in this regard.
George Lazaridis further said, it is no surprise therefore that we have seen buyers quickly flocking back into the secondhand market with fears that they will “lose” the opportunities that are still present in the market. Despite the fact that prices have on average risen by around 50% since the low levels of March 2016, asset prices can still be considered to be fairly competitive compared to what we have seen historically since the late 90’s. As such and with earnings now providing the promise of better returns and positive cash flows for new purchases, you can see that there is excess possibility for further price gains to be noted over the coming months. What’s more is that during the time period where we faced some of the biggest difficulties in the freight market, newbuilding prices continued to hold at abnormally high levels compared to equivalent periods in the past. As such secondhand asset prices are at an even higher the normal discount against what it costs to construct a similar vessel. This leaves the conclusion that if earnings continue to stay at “good” levels it will be hard to see similarly low price levels in the future for similarly aged vessels.
All these conclusions are based on the assumption that we have reached a balance in the market and that demand will continue to grow at least at its current momentum, allowing for a continual improvement in the freight market, said George Lazaridis.
This is a fairly big if however, especially if you take a closer look at the volatility being noted in the commodity markets and the general uncertainty being played out in many of those economies that play a vital role in seaborne trade. Further shocks could derail this balance and bring another round of “pains”. Although this does need to be of concern, it seems that even if these negative scenarios play out their consequences to the market would be more minor and short-term then what similar events have caused in the recent past. As such one can’t blame those optimists out there and given the relatively lower risks that are in view, there are fair grounds to claim that opportunities are now much better than most that we have come by in the past 5 years.
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Friday, 23 December 16
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED 711.1 MMST; DOWN 18.5% Y/Y - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
Thursday, 22 December 16
INDONESIA LACK OF EXPORT TO INDIA THIS WEEK - FERNLEYS
Supramax
While the Atlantic is keeping up with rates, the Pacific has been weaker says Astrup Fernley.
According to Astrup Fernley, backhaul ...
Wednesday, 21 December 16
THE SUPREME COURT DECISION IN OW BUNKERS - WHEN A SALE OF GOODS IS NOT A SALE OF GOODS - LEON ALEXANDER, CLYDE&CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In May 2016 the Supreme Court of England & Wales gave judgment in an OW Bunkers test case entitled "Res Cogitans ...
Wednesday, 21 December 16
CLEANING THE OCEANS FROM PLASTIC - SOPHIE COTZIAS
2016 is coming to a close and it finds us in preparation for the 2017 enforcement of the Ballast Water Treatment Systems. We naturally are in thoug ...
Tuesday, 20 December 16
TRADE HAS FELT ITS BUMPS AND SHAKES THIS YEAR - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Trade has felt its bumps and shakes this year, as growing populist protectionist and nationalist movements in the Western world start to take hold. ...
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The University of Queensland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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