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Wednesday, 08 March 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET TODAY PROVIDES MUCH MORE CONFIDENCE COMPARED TO LAST YEAR - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
 So what's all the fuss about? During the past five months SnP activity has being surging exponentially in the dry bulk sector. Buyers are looking to get their hands on any size within a big range of modern tonnage varying from small Handies to Newcastlemaxes.
Even if prices are more than 25% higher now than what they were eight months ago, modern ships are still relatively cheap. A good example is the “Billion Trader I”(82kdwt blt 07 Tsuneishi, Japan) and the “Billion Trader II” (82kdwt blt 07 Tsuneishi, Japan), two sister ships reported sold eight months apart. The “Billion Trader I” was sold USD 9.5 million in June 2016 and the “Billion Trader II” was sold in February 2017, 3 million more. Still USD 12,5 million for a 10-year old Japanese Kamsarmax is a lot cheaper compared to the USD 21,5 million the ex- “Million Trader II” (76kdwt blt 04 Tsuneishi, Japan )was sold at three years ago in February 2014.
Yes, the freight market today provides much more confidence compared to last year, but the reason Principals are going after tonnage with such a huge appetite is because they are seeing the bigger picture, which is not ugly anymore. The signs that we are heading towards a healthier dry bulk market are clearly visible and improving fundamentals are in place. Actually they have been in place for some time now and we had been discussing them in the past but the rock- bottom hire rates of late-2015 and early-2016 made it impossible for most to take notice.
Now the diminishing order-book, the implementation of regulations and a steady demand for transportation of cargo provide the necessary confidence for buyers to invest. On top of these factors we have to add the scarcity of finance for NB orders. In the recent past a number of banks that were known for providing shipping finance have either reduced their portfolio or exited the industry all together. The financial institutions that took over these portfolios are very cautious and seem to have learnt by the past mistakes of their peers. So far they are demonstrating a selective resistance in backing new orders for bulk carriers.
Of course the way the second-hand market is heading, we won’t be surprised if sooner rather than later NB slots will make more sense than ships in the water. But the problem will not be the controlled and strategic orders from established owners with years of experience in shipping. The key (or the challenge) will be to avoid big orders similar to those witnessed five years ago. If the ordering stays in check for the next four years then we are certainly heading towards better days.
The skeptics keep saying that moving on speculation is not wise but the truth is that this time buyers are taking educated risks backed by facts and not plain “gut” feeling or speculative decisions.
So the fuss is not about having to invest now because the market is booming and returns are exceptional. The fuss is that for the first time since 2008 things are promising and that numbers back that promise. Again you don't have to invest, but why wouldn't you? The next question is; how long this window will remain open? That is yet to be seen. Grain season is on its way and freight rates should rise, which logically will also result in even higher asset prices. We have to see how the market will react and if Buyers will take a step back or continue to pursuit opportunities in the second-hand market.
By Timos Papadimitriou
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 15 February 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Looking at the state of the Dry Bulk market exactly a year ago, there is no doubt that there is a significant improvement and despite the fact that ...
Tuesday, 14 February 17
OPTIMISM HAS STARTED TO SLOWLY FLOW BACK INTO THE DRY BULK MARKET - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Optimism has started to slowly flow back into the dry bulk market, with many in the market showing renewed optimism as the Pacific basin starts to ...
Monday, 13 February 17
COMBINED COAL SALES OF BUMI RESOURCES ROSE TO 87.7 MILLION TONS IN FY'16; UP 10.6 PERCENT Y/Y
COALspot.com: Combined Coal Sales of Bumi Resources rose to 87.7 million tons in FY’16 compared with 79.3 million tons in FY’15. ...
Monday, 13 February 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUED TO TUMBLE IN FEBRUARY
COALspot.com: The Freight market was continued its downfall in all segments except Panamax for the week ending 10 February 2017.
The Balt ...
Friday, 10 February 17
U.S. COAL OUTPUT IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE DECLINED BY 158 MMST IN 2016 TO 739 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 17 million short tons ...
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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