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Friday, 24 February 17
RUSSIAN OIL AND GAS WITHSTANDS OIL PRICE SHOCK - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch RatingsFitch Ratings says in a new report that the Russian oil and gas sector has withstood the oil price stock of 1H16. Key events of 2016 include record crude production levels, Rosneft's acquisition of Bashneft in October 2016 and subsequent privatisation, as well as Gazprom's record gas sales to Europe.

According to Fitch Ratings the completed EUR10.2bn sale of a 19.5% stake in Rosneft to Glencore and the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) is an important milestone for the sector. The ownership structure of the joint venture appears transparent: Fitch understands the joint venture that holds the stake in Rosneft is owned in equal shares by Glencore and QIA. Fitch does not rate Rosneft and therefore does not have detailed information on the transaction, but information reviewed by Fitch to date has confirmed the shareholding structure and fully resolved the agency's other questions raised at the Oil & Gas conference: "The Time for Cautious Optimism in Moscow on 15 February 2017".

In September-October 2016, Russia increased oil production by some 500,000 barrels of oil equivalent to the record volume of 11.23 million barrels of oil equivalent (mmboepd), mainly due to the launch of and continuing ramp-up across several large greenfields. Following the OPEC deal at end-November 2016, Russia agreed to cut production by some 300mboepd, bringing the post-deal volumes to 10.9mmboepd.

Fitch Ratings further noted that, in 9M16, production from certain Russian oil brownfields increased and natural decline rates moderated, mainly on significantly higher production drilling volumes that some producers demonstrated. Brownfield taxation remains high - the mineral royalty (MET) and the export duty account for 50%-60% of a typical brownfield's revenue - limiting further brownfield production growth potential.

Most Fitch-rated Russian oil and gas companies are on Stable Outlook. The Stable Outlook is driven by our expectation of stable crude production volumes and improving upstream profitability on higher forecast oil prices. Unlike their western European peers, Russian oil and gas companies did not significantly reduce capex or headcount in 2016.

Falling oil prices and taxation changes lowered downstream profitability in 9M16, resulting in higher crude exports and a 20% reduction in fuel oil production. We forecast Russian downstream to continue performing at levels similar to or slightly better than those in 2016, said Fitch Ratings.

Due to competitive gas prices and cold weather, Gazprom posted record high gas sales in Europe in 2016, while its financial results suffered from falling average gas prices. We expect Gazprom's funds from operations (FFO) net leverage to increase to around 2x on high capex; nonetheless, the leverage remains within our rating guidance.


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Wednesday, 05 April 17
THE AVERAGE SECOND HAND PANAMAXES AND CAPES PRICES FOR A 5-YR OLD VESSEL HAS INCREASED MORE THAN 19% AND 20% RESPECTIVELY M/M - INTERMODAL
With the help of what so far appears to be a very strong grain season together with the fact that imports from China have remained so far robust in ...


Tuesday, 04 April 17
THE IRON ORE HAS BEEN ABLE TO KEEP ITS GROWTH PATH FAIRLY WELL; THERE IS STILL ONE PART OF THE WORLD THAT IS STILL HEAVILY COMMITTED TO COAL
With the close of March having let us with a very positive after taste and having witnessed near the end of the month the Baltic Dry Index at its h ...


Monday, 03 April 17
WORLD COAL TRADE STABLE IN 2016: DEMAND SHIFTS TO SOUTH-EAST ASIA - ASSOCARBONI
ASSOCARBONI: Coal confirmed as the leading fuel for electricity generation, accounting for 40% of overall production in 2016. World coal trade ...


Monday, 03 April 17
DRY BULK RATES CONTINUING TO FIRMING UP
COALspot.com: The Freight market was continuing to firming up. Baltic Panamax Index rose 12.81 percent week over week. The Baltic Exchang ...


Friday, 31 March 17
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION INCREASE SLIGHTLY WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 14.5 million short tons ...


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