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Thursday, 16 February 17
CAPE MARKET HAVE EXPERIENCED A STRONG DOWNTURN - FEARNLEYS
PanamaxSupramax
Market has shifted sides from Atlantic to Pacific, where Atlantic is now lagging behind with little action and sliding indices, notably for Atlantic RV. Ultras from USG to MEG working 15-16k. Ultras from USG to India see 16k and Supras for same around 11k said Fearnleys in its latest weekly report.

Fearnleys  further noted that, a very strong push in Pacific this week, rates has improved significantly as higher activity is meets tight tonnage supply in SE Asia. Market is currently working in owners favor with Indo/China coal runs, with delivery Sgp, fixed at low 8k for Supras and around mid/high 8k for Ultras, while Indo/India trips are trading around mid/high 9k for Ultras. Ultras are able to obtain around low 7k for Nopac RV. At current pace, rates could very well be higher when this week ends.

Panamax
Commenting on Panamax, Fearnleys  says, it has been a slow week for the Panamax trading with less cargo volume available in the Atlantic. Rates are slowly sliding due to this. There are still expectations to the ECSA grains for March and quite a few ballasters headed that direction. TAs are currently trading in the high 7k region while some Baltic trades with ice class requirements are being paid a premium. In the Far East, Fearnleys said, we see the opposite trend with rates slowly climbing for Pacific rounds. NoPac RVs are fixing in the high 6k’s for LMEs and the period interest is increasing with modern large units fixing 1-yr at USD mid 9k. Mid-week we, however, see reports of grain shippers in the US Pac running empty of cargo which could lead to a change in the sentiment.

Capesize
According to Fearnleys , cape market have experienced a strong downturn. A cyclone hitting W. Australia last week disrupted the scheduling and the W. Australian miners have only fixed a few vessels this week. The TC rates for a Pacific round is presently around USD 3k level, however some of the voyage rates being fixed in the Pacific is barely making a positive return. Brazil market do also remain limited on the cargo side, but with a big tonnage over-supply. The future tonnage list for March and April is also looking very big, hence the negative sentiment is expected to continue for the next few weeks. This is not unusual for this season of the year, but expectations are that market will slowly increase and in general improve from last year.


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