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Wednesday, 08 February 17
MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS MAKRINOS
 The challenges the oil market has witnessed since the end of 2014 has resulted in a crisis for the global offshore oil and gas exploration industry as well as for the entire production chain from the oil rigs to the offshore units.
In addition to that, in a very short period of time new contract values dropped dramatically (more than 50%) for floating rigs and jackups. Meanwhile similarly to the Dry bulk SnP market, as the drop in time charter rates to very low levels resulted in an oversupply of tonnage available for sale.
Amidst lack of demand for available jobs/projects/tenders in the North Sea and in the other traditionally strong offshore trading regions, ship-owners who wanted to significantly minimize their OPEX in order to survive this downturn, were forced to lay up their vessels (AHTS-PSV). By the end of 2015, more than 120 offshore support vessels (OSV’s) where officially reported as laid-up in the North Sea alone, with that number continuously growing concurrently with the downward rally in oil prices.
In more detail, on February 2016, the oversupply for offshore units was estimated to be at around 600-700 units for PSV’s and around 800 units for AHTS vessels. These numbers where steadily increasing as the result of newbuilding deliveries and almost zero scrapping activity in the sector.
Taking the aforementioned into account, the forecasts concerning the beginning and the end of 2016 were, similarly to 2015, pessimistic for the oil industry and more importantly for the offshore oil services, equipment and drilling industries. As forecast proved to be rather accurate, 2016 can be characterized as a very bad year with an immense lack of demand for big offshore and deep-water projects. In addition, 2016 resulted in further weakening of asset values and charter rates of drilling rigs and OSV’s. For OSV’s specifically, rates dropped over 25%.
The price of crude oil towards the end of 2016 moved to 55$/bl, from its lows below 30$/bbl in February 2016, but this improvement made almost no difference to the offshore industry/services market that kept witnessing a downward trend in all segments throughout 2016.
Nonetheless, the increase in oil prices last year has inspired some optimism in regards to a further improvement in price levels taking place this year. Of crucial importance to this increase was without a doubt the OPEC agreement to decrease, for the very first time since 2008, production from 33.8 million barrels per day to 32.5 million, which spiked the market upwards.
Going through the second month of 2017, the current mood is admittedly more optimistic compared to the previous two years. Indeed, many offshore analysts signal for the first time since the second half of 2014 the beginning of the recovery in the Energy & Gas market as oil prices are expected to further recover and oil/gas exploration and production activity to start firming again. However, even if oil prices indeed move higher during this year the offshore market will still need additional time before it reaches a full on recovery.
By Panos Makrinos
Offshore Director
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 03 February 17
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED 3.9% W/W; ROSE 17.7% Y/Y
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.1 million short ton ...
Friday, 03 February 17
US - EXECUTIVE ORDER ON IMMIGRATION AFFECTS VESSEL CREWS - GARD
From 27 January 2017, crew members carrying Iraqi, Syrian, Sudanese, Iranian, Somalian, Libyan or Yemeni passports are temporarily barred from ente ...
Wednesday, 01 February 17
MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
The recent placement of LOIs for 208kdwt Newcastlemax Newbuildings at $38.5m at Private Chinese Yard identifies with the modern history low for dry ...
Tuesday, 31 January 17
A CASE OF NEW YEAR BLUES FOR THE FAR EAST? - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Unlike the typical lull in the market that we note during the period just prior to the Chinese New Year, 2017 has proved to be fairly m ...
Monday, 30 January 17
DUE TO LUNAR YEAR HOLIDAYS, THE FREIGHT MARKET STAYED WEAK
COALspot.com: Due to Lunar year holidays and celebration, the Freight market was down in all segments this past week.
The Baltic Exchange, tra ...
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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