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Thursday, 05 January 17
CAPE MARKET HAVE KEPT SURPRISINGLY FIRM AND ACTIVE DURING THE CHRISTMAS AND NEW YEAR HOLIDAYS - FEARNLEYS
PanamaxSupramax
The first week after a slow Christmas break has started off with little activity and softening rates. Not surprisingly, the market is finding its level again and so far this year not many fresh fixtures has been concluded, said Fearnleys’s research team in its latest weekly report.

According to Fearnleys, N. China to SE Asia Supramax is being traded in the low/mid 5k’s, while Nopac rv around mid/high 5k’s.

Fearnleys further noted that, coal trips with delivery Singapore via Indo to China is paying around mid/high 5k, while WC India/MEG is still the stronger area in Pacific where owners are taking USD 8/low 8 for trip Feast. In the Atlantic, Brazil to Emed is getting covered at around USD 13-14k, while Emed to Wmed/Wafr is around USD 11-12k. ECSA fh to MEG/Japan is paying around USD low 12k+225k bb and USG fh to Sgp/Jpn around USD 17k.

Panamax
Quiet but falling after the holidays. Fearnleys says, whilst Cape rates are picking up quickly, Panamax are under pressure.

According to Fearnleys , Atlantic rounds for Panamax in the 6-7k on T/C. Fhaul not much reported but vessels asking 14k from Cont. In the East, it took months for TC rates to rise from USD 5 to 9k’s, however in only two weeks’ time it has dropped back to 5k levels.

Commodity trading slow especially for coking coal and steam coal in China, due to new policies in China. Apart from short Indo rounds, there have been a substantial build-up of prompt tonnage. Period interest and activity looks scarce. Expectations for Nopac and ECSA grain volume during Q1 has not materialized yet, and the Chinese Lunar New Year is already looming in three weeks’ time.

Capesize
Commenting on Cape Fearnleys  says, cape market have kept surprisingly firm and active during the Christmas and New Year holidays. The first week of the new year have continued in the same firm pace. Period activity have also picked up, with levels again above USD 10k mark for 1-year period.

Transatlantic rv market is around 15k and the Pacific rv market keeps just above 10k. Seasonally the first quarter of the year is the weakest with bad weather in both Brazil and Far East, and miners often scheduling maintenance during this period. However based on past few weeks, the market is a bit more cautious optimistic about the near future.

Compared to the same period last year, we do at least have a much better starting point for the year ahead Fearnleys concluded.


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