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Tuesday, 20 December 16
TRADE HAS FELT ITS BUMPS AND SHAKES THIS YEAR - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 Trade has felt its bumps and shakes this year, as growing populist protectionist and nationalist movements in the Western world start to take hold.
According to Allied shipping research, Trade openness has been on a slowing down path for several years now, with trade deals finding it difficult to take root and progress given the growing economic issues being faced. The number of skeptics over globalization and openness towards trends has risen sharply, as growing inequality, slow economic growt rates and increased trade deficits in most of the OECD countries causes excess internal political friction. Let’s not forget what a crucial role this has plaid in some of the biggest political upsets this year, all from the Brexit vote over to the U.S. presidential election results. This does not look like it’s in any mood of easing just yet and as things stand now, we are likely to see further upsets during the coming 12 months that could cause further turmoil in the global markets.
George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied further said, behind the scenes this tension between trading partners has been growing further. A messy trade battle is currently underway within the World Trade Organisation, a battle unrelated to any Trump or Farage. China has for years been criticized by most of the OECD countries as not adhering to the international “fair play” of trade. Given its status under the WTO as a “non-market” economy, its trading partners were allowed to treat it as such and slap anti-dumping duties on Chinese imports in order to counter what they saw as unfair subsidized credit, energy and raw materials given to Chinese companies by the state. This was up until last Sunday, whereby this 15-year agreement giving China’s trading partners the ability to treat it as a “non-market” market economy was due to expire, though as it seems America and Europe where unwilling to do so. This contesting has now put forth in motion a lengthy (could take up to two years) legal dispute within the WTO court for which sloppy legal drafting of what the clear definition of what a “market economy” is will be disputed from both sides. These sort of issues might not have imminent market effects but just go a step further to highlight the tensions that currently hold between nations for matters related to trade. All this therefore shows how hard it is nowadays to for further trade agreements to gain momentum and support, while older agreements are strongly contested and threatened of falling apart, said George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied.
He added that it is not all doom and gloom, as at the same time we have recently seen glimpse of hope which have likely been motivated by the mistakes of the past and the growing fear that open and free trade could collapse at a drop of a hat. Over the weekend we had a statement by the EU’s chief trade negotiator with Japan announcing that the current free-trade deal being negotiated is close to being signed as early as next year. This is a fairly major deal, being between the world’s second and fourth largest economies by GDP and also by the fact that Japan is Europe’s second largest trading partner after China in the East. It is major deal under way like this and the recently signed deal between Canada and Europe that shows hope that there is still appetite for further openness to be achieved, while the recent criticism that has been reflected in major political polls and referendums is serving as more of a guidance to the undergoing negotiations that past mistakes must be avoided and more must be done at home to better balance the nock on effects and shifting production requirements.
A difficult year lays ahead for free trade but it seems that there are still supporters out there who hold firm belief to its overall benefits, he concluded.
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Monday, 19 September 16
AFTER YEARS OF COMA, COAL BECOMES THE MOST ATTRACTIVE COMMODITY RIGHT NOW
COALspot.com: China boosted coal imports in recent months. The Chinese government’s drive to cut over capacity pushed up the demand for therm ...
Monday, 19 September 16
THE CAPE INDEX WAS UP 7.28% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities declined and ending in a slightly negative note this past ...
Friday, 16 September 16
GLOBAL SHIPBUILDING: THE CHALLENGE TO REMAIN 'ACTIVE' - CHRISTOPHER PEARCE, CLARKSONS
The number of ‘active’ shipyards globally has more than halved since the start of 2009, falling to around 400 shipyards at the start of ...
Friday, 16 September 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DECLINED 6.2% TO 15.1 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.1 million short ton ...
Thursday, 15 September 16
INDONESIA MAY FACE A COAL CRISIS BY 2035!
COALspot.com: Indonesia is the world’s fourth-largest coal producer and the world’s largest thermal coal exporter may face a coal crisi ...
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