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Tuesday, 22 November 16
THE COMMODITIES MARKETS HAD SHOWED GREATER PROMISE SINCE THE SUMMER PERIOD - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 We have all borne witness to the sluggish pace of trade growth witnessed during the course of the past 4 years as well as the even slower pace noted within to 2016. Given the glut in tonnage supply that has accumulated since 2011, the shipping industry has found it very difficult to find a stable foothold from where to keep itself in “normal operations” and with viable earnings, says George Lazaridis Head of Market Research of Allied Shipping.
George Lazaridis further said, what has made 2015 & 2016 so problematic is that the balance between demand and supply went further off course as trade growth almost came to an absolute halt. This growing concern had been in part expressed in the worries that were being voiced over the outcome of the U.S. elections, with many prominent economists and economic analyst in major organizations seeing a further deterioration of the situation as major countries around the world start to turn to more inward focused economic policies. Just one day after the results came out and we started to see a very different picture emerge in the markets, said George Lazaridis.
He further noted that the trade in most bulk commodities was instantly boosted, with freight rates in both the dry bulk and tanker markets for the majority of size groups shooting up considerably. At the same time, commodity prices were in for a major rally, with most prominent that of coal which even managed to peak at some point above US$ 100 per tonne. Things have quieted down considerably on all fronts since then and it looks as though we are heading towards some normality which is still at better levels than it was one month prior. Where did all this optimism come from however and does it have enough basis for it to match a more long-term trend?
George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied Shipping further said this quick move seems to have been generated by a series of events that took place triggering a domino move that boosted things further and further, urging the speculators to further fuel the market. For one we had the basis of most of the pre-election talks by Mr. Trump that referred to a splurge of infrastructure spending in the U.S. during his presidency. Such a splurge would need to be adequately fed by bulk commodities such as steel, cement and other vital bulk commodities used in construction. As the market moved more bullish for these commodities and several traders went into stockpiling mode in order to be adequately stocked for the proposed boom in demand, the second wave of effects started to take hold.
According to George Lazaridis, a mass of investors had already started to flee out of several emerging markets (such as Mexico) and starting to head towards the commodities markets which had shows greater promise since the summer period. As they flocked they boosted prices ever further and with prices rising quick a surge was generated (essentially a mini bubble) as traders looked to move quick before prices got too hot. Similarly, traders in many economies which are heavy importers of these commodities where in an even bigger rush as the strengthening dollar amplified the price hike even more.
These price hikes in commodities, according to George Lazaridis, were to the main benefit of ship owners as the cost of freight became an ever more insignificant portion in the whole equation, taking second place to the speed with which a trader could book the cargo he was after.
This speculatively fueled rally has boosted the market significantly however it seems as though it has run its course for now. That’s not to say that an imminent collapse is now in sight. It looks as though trade might hold at much better levels for the remainder of the final quarter of 2016 than it did a year ago. As to how well it will cope in the first quarter however, is another story altogether,George Lazaridis concluded.
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Monday, 03 October 16
THERMAL COAL PRICE SHOOTS UP AND MADE THEIR VERTICAL MOVE IN 5 YEARS; PRICE RALLY CONTINUES
COALspot.com: A rally in thermal coal prices over the past few months, after years of decline, is still continuing and it is expected to rally at l ...
Monday, 03 October 16
DRY-BULK SHIPPING FREIGHTS SLIDE IN SOFTENING SPOT MARKET
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline slightly and ending in a negative note this past ...
Friday, 30 September 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT FELL 2.3% - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
Friday, 30 September 16
OPEC CUT SUPPORTS SLOW OIL RECOVERY, NOT STRONG REBOUND - FITCH
OPEC's oil production target announced this week signals the potential for greater co-ordination among its members, but the target itself is la ...
Thursday, 29 September 16
FREIGHT RATES MIGHT CONTINUE TO SLIDE NEXT WEEK DUE TO HOLIDAYS IN CHINA
Supramax
Flat start to week followed by a slight gain in rates for Supramaxes, says Fearnleys in its latest weekly report.
According to Fear ...
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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