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Tuesday, 22 November 16
THE COMMODITIES MARKETS HAD SHOWED GREATER PROMISE SINCE THE SUMMER PERIOD - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 We have all borne witness to the sluggish pace of trade growth witnessed during the course of the past 4 years as well as the even slower pace noted within to 2016. Given the glut in tonnage supply that has accumulated since 2011, the shipping industry has found it very difficult to find a stable foothold from where to keep itself in “normal operations” and with viable earnings, says George Lazaridis Head of Market Research of Allied Shipping.
George Lazaridis further said, what has made 2015 & 2016 so problematic is that the balance between demand and supply went further off course as trade growth almost came to an absolute halt. This growing concern had been in part expressed in the worries that were being voiced over the outcome of the U.S. elections, with many prominent economists and economic analyst in major organizations seeing a further deterioration of the situation as major countries around the world start to turn to more inward focused economic policies. Just one day after the results came out and we started to see a very different picture emerge in the markets, said George Lazaridis.
He further noted that the trade in most bulk commodities was instantly boosted, with freight rates in both the dry bulk and tanker markets for the majority of size groups shooting up considerably. At the same time, commodity prices were in for a major rally, with most prominent that of coal which even managed to peak at some point above US$ 100 per tonne. Things have quieted down considerably on all fronts since then and it looks as though we are heading towards some normality which is still at better levels than it was one month prior. Where did all this optimism come from however and does it have enough basis for it to match a more long-term trend?
George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied Shipping further said this quick move seems to have been generated by a series of events that took place triggering a domino move that boosted things further and further, urging the speculators to further fuel the market. For one we had the basis of most of the pre-election talks by Mr. Trump that referred to a splurge of infrastructure spending in the U.S. during his presidency. Such a splurge would need to be adequately fed by bulk commodities such as steel, cement and other vital bulk commodities used in construction. As the market moved more bullish for these commodities and several traders went into stockpiling mode in order to be adequately stocked for the proposed boom in demand, the second wave of effects started to take hold.
According to George Lazaridis, a mass of investors had already started to flee out of several emerging markets (such as Mexico) and starting to head towards the commodities markets which had shows greater promise since the summer period. As they flocked they boosted prices ever further and with prices rising quick a surge was generated (essentially a mini bubble) as traders looked to move quick before prices got too hot. Similarly, traders in many economies which are heavy importers of these commodities where in an even bigger rush as the strengthening dollar amplified the price hike even more.
These price hikes in commodities, according to George Lazaridis, were to the main benefit of ship owners as the cost of freight became an ever more insignificant portion in the whole equation, taking second place to the speed with which a trader could book the cargo he was after.
This speculatively fueled rally has boosted the market significantly however it seems as though it has run its course for now. That’s not to say that an imminent collapse is now in sight. It looks as though trade might hold at much better levels for the remainder of the final quarter of 2016 than it did a year ago. As to how well it will cope in the first quarter however, is another story altogether,George Lazaridis concluded.
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Sunday, 04 December 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DECLINED 11.9% W/E 26 NOV; UP 1.4% Y/Y, EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.2 million short ton ...
Thursday, 01 December 16
OIL PRICES MAY SEE LITTLE GROWTH BEFORE 2018, FITCH RATINGS SAYS
High inventories and the potential for US shale production to respond quickly to any market tightening mean oil prices may flat line in 2017 before ...
Thursday, 01 December 16
CHINA 2017 OIL, GAS OUTPUT DROP MAY WORSEN ON CAPEX CUT: FITCH
China's oil and gas production may shrink even more in 2017 than in 2016 after the country's leading oil companies cut exploration and prod ...
Thursday, 01 December 16
ANOTHER WONDERFUL WEEK FOR PANAMAX - FEARNLEY
Supramax
A slower start to the week in the Pacific compared to last Trips from N. China to S. China is paying in the range of low USD 5k, while I ...
Tuesday, 29 November 16
AUSTRALIA'S PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.08 MT OF COAL IN OCTOBER; DOWN 10.39% M/M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU1,124.7 Mi ...
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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