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Thursday, 17 November 16
FROTHY THERMAL COAL PRICES POINT TO DOWNSIDE PRESSURES IN 2017 - FITCH
Fitch RatingFitch Ratings says in an Outlook Report that the Asian thermal coal industry will remain under pressure in 2017 due to more-than-adequate capacity and price adjustments that are likely to be downward. The strong pricing rebound since early 2016 is unlikely to be sustained as the Chinese government relaxes its working-day curtailment policies to manage prices.

According to Fitch, supply-demand dynamics remain on soft ground, as China eliminated only 152 million tonnes of excess capacity in 8M16, compared with 600 million tonnes of capacity seeking production approval and another 800 million tonnes under construction. Meanwhile, India is ramping up domestic supply aggressively to enhance energy security and reduce current account deficits, while domestic demand growth has been lacklustre.

Fitch further said, the Chinese government has relaxed its supply controls since September to prevent runaway coal prices from delaying capacity rationalisation. Recent policies reveal Beijing's wish to keep the 5,500kcal/kg coal prices below CNY460/tonne, versus CNY607/tonne as of end-October. Fitch believes the government has ample measures to curb prices, given sufficient capacity to serve stagnant demand. The depreciation of the Chinese yuan against the US dollar can also have a negative effect on import demand and seaborne prices in dollar terms.

Fitch says, Indonesian coal producers focusing on the export market are likely to suffer the most as their largest buyer - India - experiences weak thermal power generation, curbs coal imports, and increases utilisation of higher-rank Australian and South African coal.

The recent appreciation in thermal coal prices will prop up the operating cash generation of Asian coal producers; however, the price outlook remains uncertain and challenging, Fitch concluded.


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Tuesday, 22 November 16
THE COMMODITIES MARKETS HAD SHOWED GREATER PROMISE SINCE THE SUMMER PERIOD - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
We have all borne witness to the sluggish pace of trade growth witnessed during the course of the past 4 years as well as the even slower pace note ...


Monday, 21 November 16
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Monday, 21 November 16
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Monday, 21 November 16
BALTIC DRY INDEX SURGES TO 1257 POINTS W/E 18 NOV; BPI ROSE 37.3% W/W
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rally continues this past week and ending on a positive n ...


Friday, 18 November 16
CAPESIZE: THE COMMODITIES PRICES ARE INCREASING, RESULTING IN MORE DEMAND AND CONSEQUENTLY RATES ARE MAKING A BIG JUMP - FEARNLEYS
Supramax Apart from booming S. Africa where owners have obtained USD 14-15k to MEG/India and around mid USD 12k to China, the Pacific market has ...


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