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Tuesday, 15 November 16
CHINA, FOR MANY YEARS NOW HAS SERVED AS A MAJOR GROWTH ENGINE FOR ASIA - ALLIED SHIPPING RESEARCH
 It’s been a turbulent couple of days after the announcement of the U.S. Presidential results in the early hours of Wednesday.
After weeks of scaremongering and intense debate, it looks as though the market started to have severe mood swings as to what a Trump presidency would mean to U.S. and more crucially global markets.
According to Allied Shipping research, Wednesday started off in line with what most had anticipated with the U.S. dollar weakening against most major currencies and most commodities witnessing a drop in price with the exception of gold which as always is seen as the typical “safe harbor”.
This was short lived however with both the U.S dollar and commodities quick to rebound and then continue on an upward course up until the time of writing, which was remarkable, to say the least. It seems as though Trump’s talk over huge infrastructure developments and investing to be made under his presidency caused most to see a major increase in demand for most “heavy industry” commodities Allied Shipping noted.
Things however are never so clear cut as the subsequent volatility showed in late trading hours on Friday and early trading hours today. Many traders came to the quick realization that even if the U.S. economy undertakes a massive and successful investment in infrastructure that could boost construction and demand for commodities, this could be as easily overturned by Trump’s other campaign promises regarding trade agreements. His hostility towards Chinese trade and his strong promise to erect massive trade barriers with China in the form of high rate tariffs on imports would likely have a domino effect. China has already shown difficulties over the past year and a half. With China being the world’s largest importer of raw commodities, any setbacks in its economy are likely to have an overall negative effect on global commodities which will be a considerable multiple of any positive effect the U.S. could have in this regard. However, with all this being highly theoretical at this point and with the large majority of Trump’s policies remaining in the realm of the unknown, no one really knows which way things could go. So for now it seems to be a great playing field for market speculators, taking up positions which as they see it could potentially reap them great rewards if their scenarios pan out (or great losses if they don’t). Nevertheless, things seem to be going in a healthy direction for now from the commodities perspective giving a slightly bigger edge to a scenario of an overall boosted global economy moving forward.
Japan’s recently announced latest GDP figures surpassed by a big margin all analysts’ expectations and although this has been mainly attributed to a healthy boost from exports, it indicates their reliance on close cooperation with its trade partners and their respective economic growth trajectory, Allied Shipping Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations said.
This “free trade” most countries depend is even more the case for emerging economies which have been the ones that have been supporting global growth since 2008. Their extraordinary growth figures are not isolated within these countries but also reciprocate increased demand for products and more importantly services from the more developed economies. Japan’s growth in exports has mainly been fueled by demand from China which for many years now has served as a major growth engine for Asia and consumes all sorts of imports from other countries worldwide.
A step towards Trump’s campaign dream of isolated nations would benefit no-one in the long run, however as to what Trump’s dream really is no-one seems to know. It’s anyone’s guess right now which way things will go Allied Shipping research concluded.
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Wednesday, 31 January 24
CHINA'S INNER MONGOLIA COAL OUTPUT HIT 1.21B TONS IN 2023 - XINHUA
North China’s Inner Mongolia autonomous region churned out 1.21 billion tons of coal in 2023 as it strives to guarantee the country’s e ...
Wednesday, 31 January 24
GAS EXPORTS COST U.S. CONSUMERS MORE THAN $100 BILLION OVER 16-MONTH PERIOD - IEEFA
Limited Demand Growth Could Dampen the Dry Bulk Market in the Coming Months BIMCOStarting in late 2021—before its invasion of Ukraine—R ...
Tuesday, 30 January 24
LIMITED DEMAND GROWTH COULD DAMPEN THE DRY BULK MARKET IN THE COMING MONTHS - BIMCO
Demand
In our base scenario, we expect cargo demand to grow by 0-1% in 2024 and 0.5-1.5% in 2025. This is a 0.5 percentage point reduction for ...
Friday, 26 January 24
RED SEA DIVERSIONS ADD NEARLY A MILLION DOLLARS PER VOYAGE TO SHIPPING COSTS WHILE DOUBLING TRANSIT TIME - LSEG
The incremental costs of diverting a tanker from Asia to NW Europe via the Cape of Good Hope is accounting for an extra $932,905 USD per voyage whi ...
Friday, 26 January 24
HARD COAL GUARDIAN ANGEL OF THE ENERGY SUPPLY - GERMANY COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
- No security of supply without hard coal
- The Substitute Power Plant Provision Act (EKBG) must be extended
- Higher grid fees due to the ...
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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