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Wednesday, 02 November 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT
IntermodalA week before the U.S. presidential election, everyone is eager to see the socio-political effects that the result of these elections will have. As far as the shipping industry is concerned, shipping indices historically display neutrality when similar political events occur, despite the uncertain nature of such events, which mainly affect stock markets. What could affect our industry in this case though, are possible changes in the US trade policy in case of extreme political choices which would be more evident starting next year, when the actual change of presidency will take place.

Moving on to the present and to the dry bulk SnP market, we are currently noticing increased activity. This activity does not only limit to simple interest or inspections on behalf of potential Buyers but also translates into actual deals, and even though the last quarter of the year is traditionally stronger in terms of activity anyway, this year round we are noticing even stronger momentum.

We are noticing that sales of dry bulk tonnage have nearly doubled in October compared to September, with Buyers mainly focusing on Supramax up to Panamax vessels, while activity in October is increased by 163% when compared to the same month in 2015. The title of the most hot size fairly belongs to modern Chinese Supramaxes and Ultramaxes, with 8 and 9 units respectively representing over 20% of all October 2016 dry bulk sales. Representative of the trend in prices for modern Supramaxes is  the rumoured sale of the “CS AZALEA” (57kDWT, 2010, Zhejiang) which was sold for USD 7.0m to Turkish buyers, whereas the prices for Chinese resales fluctuated at around  USD 18.0m, with the “DIVINE SEAS” (63kdwt 2016 Yangzhou Dayang) going to Greek buyers for a price between USD 18.3-18.6m.

Out of the 26 Panamaxes/Kamsarmaxes that were sold, 12 were built between 1999 and 2002, most of the them went to Chinese buyers. In regards to price levels in this instance, the “PAN UNO” (76kdwt, 2001, Japan) was sold for USD 4.6m and the one year younger “NEW COMMAND” (76KDWT, 2002, Japan) left for USD 5.0m, are currently dictating market levels. The rest of the deals in this size, concerned much younger vessels, like for example the “BAROCK” (82kdwt, 2007, Japan) which was sold at the end of October by Greek buyers for USD 11.3m.

As we wait to see what the duration of this strong momentum in dry bulk SnP activity will be, we also look out for all the upcoming socio-political developments as well as what could 2017 – the year of the rebound of the market for some – bring.
By Nasos Soulakis
SnP Broker

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

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