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Thursday, 15 September 16
INDONESIA MAY FACE A COAL CRISIS BY 2035!
Coal MineCOALspot.com: Indonesia is the world’s fourth-largest coal producer and the world’s largest thermal coal exporter may face a coal crisis by 2035. According to the Indonesian coal mining association Indonesia may become a coal importer by 2035, if the country fails to address the coal supply issues on time.

Coal power generation in Indonesia is forecast to grow by 160% between 2013 and 2022 as the economy continues to develop, says WCA.

According to Chairman of ICMA, as quoted by Liputan6, "Indonesia is currently producing around 350-400 million tons per year and consuming around 170 million per year. At present annual production, the Indonesia will exhaust its coal reserves in about 20 years. Indonesia's economically retrievable coal reserves measured at around 8 billion tons and the Indonesian government is also aims to have 35 GWe of new power stations operating by 2019 - 2020.

According to Pandu Sjahrir, Chairman of ICMA, as quoted by Liputan6, In fact, Indonesia is having coal reserves of around 30 to 40 billion tons, which can meet long-term needs. However, based on the current coal price levels (US$ 70 per ton), only around 8 billion tons is economically retrievable reserves. A recent study by Pricewater house suggested that, coal in Indonesia will be exhausted by 2035.

Indonesia’s domestic coal consumption is expected to increase significantly coming years when the planned 35 gigawatts power stations fully operational.

According to ICMA, the association is discussing the issues with the government to find a workable solution to address the coal crisis that country may face by 2035. However the association says, as quoted by Liputan6, the coal export ban to secure the fuel for domestic use will not be the right step for Indonesia. If the government decides to ban coal exports, then, the country's mining industry would be shaken. The ban on coal export will lead to mine closures and layoffs of about 700 thousand to one million coal miners.

According to Chairman, as reported by Liputan6, ban on coal exports will only adding new problems. Instead of the coal export ban, the Indonesian Coal Mining Association urged the government to lock in measures to set coal prices based on cost plus.He strongly believes that, such a pricing policy would help stimulate investment in exploration and stabilize the economy, as well as secure coal reserves for the country's upcoming power stations.

“Coal is likely to remain the most affordable fuel for power generation in many developing and industrialized countries for decades” – World Coal Association


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