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Monday, 15 August 16
DRY BULK: 2017 COULD MARK THE START OF LOWER SHIP DELIVERIES HELPING TONNAGE SUPPLY ISSUES IN THE MARKET, SAYS SHIPOWNER - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 Dry bulk owner Pacific Basin, mainly active in the Handysize and Supramax trades appeared optimistic in its analysis of the prospects of the dry bulk market moving forward. In short, high scrapping activity, lower ship deliveries from 2017 onwards, as a result of negligible newbuilding activity and increased slippage, could lead to a significant improvement of the demand/supply balance of the market moving forward.
According to Pacific Basin, “Handysize and Supramax spot market rates averaged US$3,900 and US$4,570 per day net respectively in the first half of 2016, representing a 22% and 27% decline in average earnings year on year. Baltic dry bulk freight market indices continued to decline in early 2016 to new record lows for all bulk carrier types which, in February, all recorded TCE earnings of less than US$3,000 per day. Such level of earnings is below cash operating expenses and conditions are estimated to have been as poor as those of the early 1970s. Freight rates were undermined mainly by a general seasonal and Chinese New Year slowdown in demand, lingering oversupply of dry bulk tonnage and lower Chinese imports of coal. Increased activity after mid-February supported improved market freight rates – more notably in the Atlantic due primarily to increased South American grain exports – albeit from a very low base and resulting in a very weak half-year period overall for dry bulk shipping”.
In terms of supply, Pacific Basin noted that “the global fleet of 25,000-40,000 dwt Handysize and 50,000-60,000 dwt Supramax ships grew 1.4% net and 2.3% net respectively during the half year, and there has been negligible net growth in the dry bulk fleet overall since the seasonal surge in new ship deliveries in January. Following a similar pattern to last year, new ship deliveries in the first half represented 3.6% of existing dry bulk capacity and full-year deliveries are projected to fall significantly short of the scheduled order book. All-time low freight earnings encouraged increased scrapping to 1.8% of existing dry bulk capacity in the first quarter – a level not seen in over 30 years. The second quarter saw a reduced pace of scrapping due to improved freight market conditions. In the half year overall, shipowners opted to delete 2.8% of total dry bulk capacity and 2.5% of Handysize capacity rather than continue to operate their older or poorly designed ships in such depressed trading conditions. For the first time since the 1980s, we observed a meaningful number of vessels withdrawn from the market for short-term idling or longer-term lay-up”.
SHIP VALUES
The ship owner added that “values of benchmark five-year-old and newbuilding Handysize bulk carriers have reduced by 2% and 5% since the start of the year to US$9.3 million and US$19.5 million respectively as estimated by Clarksons Platou, and they appear to have stabilised. The significant gap between newbuilding and secondhand prices continues to discourage new ship ordering activity which will benefit freight market fundamentals in the future. Cancelled or abandoned newbuildings especially from Chinese shipyards are occasionally marketed for sale by shipbuilders at significant discounts”.
KEY DEMAND DEVELOPMENTS
Meanwhile, “year on year, Clarksons Platou estimate dry bulk shipping demand in the first quarter to have increased by 0.4%. Key drivers through the first half included increased iron ore exports – especially from Brazil – as well as growth in Chinese steel exports and bauxite and copper concentrates imports, and strong exports of long-haul South American agricultural products. Chinese imports of seven key minor bulks increased by 5 million tonnes or 4% year on year, reflecting slower growth in Chinese industrial output. Having declined significantly in early 2015, coal volumes have been steadier since a year ago. Reduced bauxite exports from Malaysia have been largely offset by growth in longer haul volumes from Guinea and other Atlantic exporters. US petcoke exports in January to April increased 6% year on year driven by strong growth in Indian demand which has more than offset a decline in volumes to China. Despite the marginally positive year-on-year demand data, a typical seasonal fall in dry bulk trade volumes from the last quarter of 2015 to the first quarter of 2016 contributed to record low freight rates in the first quarter. Overall dry bulk demand improved in the second quarter, particularly in the Atlantic due primarily to increased South American grain exports”, said Pacific Basin.
ORDERBOOK
Finally, “the dry bulk order book has reduced to 15% from 18% a year ago. New ordering for most dry bulk ship types was negligible in the first half of the year which is further increasing pressure on underutilised shipyards. New orders were substantially limited to thirty Valemax ore carriers dedicated to Vale’s own iron ore export trades and primarily built to replace an ageing Very Large Ore Carrier fleet. The significant order book shortfall and slippage continues, and we expect new ship deliveries in the full year 2016 to be similar to last year’s 49 million deadweight tonnes. We expect the absence of new ordering to result in significantly reduced new ship deliveries from next year onwards”, the ship owner concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 09 August 16
CS50 COAL INDEX HITS NEW FIFTY-WEEKS HIGH
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 1.78% week over week to averaging $41.85 per ton this past week, shows CS (i) C ...
Tuesday, 09 August 16
HARD COAL PRODUCTION AND WORLD TRADE ON THE DECLINE FOR THE FIRST TIME IN YEARS - VDKI
Hard coal production and world trade on the decline for the first time in years – not a harbinger of a global energy turnaround
Worldwid ...
Tuesday, 09 August 16
BREXIT, BRITANNIA AND THE WAVES - TREVOR CROWE, CLARKSON RESEARCH
This week, the Bank of England put into place its action plan following the UK referendum on 23rd June, which indicated the British population&rsqu ...
Monday, 08 August 16
INDONESIA'S DRAFT MINING LAW HINTS AT FUTURE REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
COALspot.com: A draft mining law published by Indonesia's Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources provides use ...
Monday, 08 August 16
THE TURKISH GOVERNMENT HAS IMPOSED A $15 A TON DUTY ON POWER PLANT COAL IMPORTS - MEDIA
COALspot.com: The Turkish government has imposed a US$15 per ton duty on thermal coal imports for use in its power sector.
According to media ...
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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