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Tuesday, 09 August 16
HARD COAL PRODUCTION AND WORLD TRADE ON THE DECLINE FOR THE FIRST TIME IN YEARS - VDKI
Hard coal production and world trade on the decline for the first time in years – not a harbinger of a global energy turnaround
Worldwide hard coal production declined almost 3% to 7.0 billion tonnes in 2015.
According to German Coal Importer Association, the Coking coal production also fell 10%, while the decline in steam coal was only 1.6%. World trade fell by 8.5% from 1.3 billion tonnes to 1.2 billion tonnes. The impact here as well was above all a consequence of the drastic decline in demand from the steel industry. Declining steel production caused the seaborne trade in coking coal to fall by 12.3%; the price for high-quality Australian coking coal suffered a collapse of 32% between January 2015 and January 2016.
The VDKi further says, the decline in steam coal trade because of the economic fall-off in Asia was not as steep. Seaborne trade on the Asian-Pacific market decreased by 7%. On the other hand, steam coal trade on the Atlantic market rose slightly by 0.5%. The first decline in hard coal production and world trade after years of a boom in raw materials is not a harbinger of a global energy turnaround.
For a number of years, the People’s Republic of China has been the starting point for an unequalled boom in raw materials. The effect of its enormous leverage is now pulling its raw material suppliers down with it. While hard coal production in China declined by 1.5%, the Chinese imports fell by a massive 32%. The market situation is marked by the collapse of demand for steel and over capacities in China. The global steel business was not able to evade the consequences and is suffering from Chinese dumping exports, says Coal Importer Association of German in its latest media release.
There were no signs of a global energy turnaround in 2015 nor is there any reason to expect one in the coming years; the primary scenario from the International Energy Agency (IEA) projects an increase in coal consumption among non-OECD countries of 18% to 1.1 billion tonnes for 2020. This rise is greater than the expected decrease in the OECD countries.
The Coal Importer Association further noted that, a special situation has been noted in the USA and has led to a number of Chapter 11 creditor protection proceedings. The steel crisis, the shale gas boom and a strong exchange rate for the dollar have led to financial difficulties for many American companies. But the replacement of coal by natural gas is not a success story of environmental policies. Gas leakages in the USA have heightened awareness that the replacement of coal by natural gas is not an alternative to the development of renewable energy sources. Politicians have started to focus on the methane emissions during the production of oil and natural gas, which are much more harmful to the climate than carbon dioxide emissions.
In its “bridge” scenario, the International Energy Agency lists the reduction of methane emissions from oil and natural gas production that are harmful to the climate as one of the five primary measures for the implementation of the climate convention of Paris. During their recent climate summit, Canada, the USA and Mexico emphasised this reduction as one of their primary targets along with the promotion of renewable energy sources.
The VDKi commissioned the consulting company Pöyry to conduct a literature study that determined the emissions from hard coal and natural gas over the full length of the added-value chain and calculated for the first time the values for the partial load case that is also important for the energy turnaround. The study comes to the conclusion that open-cycle gas turbines emit up to 76% more greenhouse gases than modern hard coal-fired power plants. The latter are consequently an important pillar for system stabilisation until such time as affordable storage facilities are available.
Prerequisite is a free-market framework for power generation. The proposals from the German government are inadequate in this respect, and the calls for a capacity market have therefore not been quieted. In its sector analysis on capacity markets, the European Commission recommended a review of whether subsidy mechanisms for renewable energy sources that are not in conformity with a free market are responsible for the unnaturally low prices on power exchanges in Europe before any further steps are taken to intervene in the market. The Commission is right: the feed-in priority for renewable energies is the primary culprit here. If power from renewable energy sources were subject to the forces of a free market, the operation of hard coal-fired power plants would be sustainably profitable, and they could assume their bridge function for the Climate Protection Plan 2050.
About the Verein der Kohlenimporteure e.V. (VDKi)
The Verein der Kohlenimporteure e.V. [Coal Importer Association] (VDKi) is the lobby organisation for the hard coal import market in Germany. Its German and European members come from the sectors power, industry, trade and logistics. The Association currently has 70 members who consume about 80% of the German requirements for hard coal of approximately 56 million tonnes in their facilities. Imported coal covers about 90% of Germany’s coal requirements. The VDKi represents the overwhelming share of the hard coal market (German and imported hard coal) in Germany, a financial volume in the billions. The VDKi regularly examines the significance of the global hard coal markets for the European and German import hard coal markets, describes prospects for future import development and regularly publishes statistics about German hard coal imports and prices. Additional information is available at www.verein-kohlenimporteure.de.
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Thursday, 15 September 16
INDONESIA MAY FACE A COAL CRISIS BY 2035!
COALspot.com: Indonesia is the world’s fourth-largest coal producer and the world’s largest thermal coal exporter may face a coal crisi ...
Thursday, 15 September 16
CAPESIZE: LAST WEEK ENDED ON A VERY STRONG NOTE MAINLY DRIVEN BY A ACTIVE BRAZIL MARKET - FEARNLYS
Supramax
With holidays in the eastern hemisphere beginning this week, the sentiment and activity level has been decreasing.
In the Pacific, ...
Wednesday, 14 September 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET REACHED LEVELS LAST SEEN BACK IN 2015 - INTERMODAL
In an earlier column we commented that we are undergoing “shipping’s new (ab)normal” with constrained financing, shift in demand ...
Wednesday, 14 September 16
THE PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 12.48 MMT OF COAL IN AUGUST; AVERAGE SELLING PRICE WAS $AU 83.33
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU $1,040.4 ...
Tuesday, 13 September 16
CAPESIZE: BIG STRENGTH SEEN IN THE MARKET THIS WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize - Big strength seen in the market this week, with an upbeat in sentiment amongst owners helping pull up rates fairly quickly and many hold ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The University of Queensland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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