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Wednesday, 20 July 16
EDIBLE OIL MARKETS ACROSS THE GLOBE REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
 The edible oil markets across the globe remain under pressure on the back of lackluster demand. Some of the main factors causing the low activity are seasonality, increased stocks and wet and dry weather conditions in the west and east respectively. While S. America activity has already been ‘’hit’’ by the summer seasonal cool-off, effects of El Nino are still evident on the palm oil exports from SE Asia. Needless to say that the impact of this has resulted in long lists of ships available and has pushed freight rates down to new lows. In the meantime, the CPP market in both the Atlantic and the Pacific has not provided support to Owners looking to escape the dull palm and vegetable oil market and has further extended their feeling of uncertainty.
Against Owners’ expectations, the traditional increase of demand before and after the Ramadan has failed to materialize this year. India and Pakistan, the main demand sources, have been very slow, while Europe and China have also been weak. However, the Middle East and Red Sea markets have experienced healthier activity, still not enough to absorb the ample tonnage around though. Palm oil shipments have been 8.5% lower in June compared to May, forcing a number of Owners to heavily compete for each cargo that becomes available in the market. Hire rates during the past month for the usual long haul MR TC Trip to Med-Continent-USA bss delivery at charterer's preferred load port, have dropped from $16,500 to $15,000 per day at the time of writing, the lowest fixing levels in a long time. As far as the regional SE Asia market is concerned, there has been a slight increase of cargoes quoted as charterers look to replenish their stocks, but overall the market is still far from achieving a balance.
After many months of a rather firm market, freight rates on the edible trade lanes from S. America have softened. Having been the strong leg on the triangulation trade for the dedicated on the edible oil market Owners, it has finally followed the rest of the routes on the downside. This is mainly the result of a sharp decrease in Indian demand, which has been traditionally the main destination of vegetable oils from S. America. However, the recent boost of CPP imports into Argentina has led many ships in the area, building as a result a long tonnage list and causing great supply/demand imbalance. On the other hand, there are serious delays on discharging those ships, which causes increased concern to Owners and Charterers that aim to get ships with firm itineraries. With ample tonnage available we do not expect MR veg oil freight rates to firm over the next few weeks. In fact, it is possible that they will soften further. At the moment, the rate for 40k mtons of cargo to India is about USD 36-38 pmt bss 2/2.
The outlook for the Black Sea/Med market is not very different compared to the previous months. Once again, activity is low and it is mostly small parcels that move around. However, there is better luck for FOSFA accepted vessels which are still in demand and able to negotiate better numbers. Despite the slow market, rates have been stable with the usual route to India on 12,000 tons fixing around $ mid/high 50s pmt bss 1/2.
As the summer months roll on, signs of recovery to 2015 levels remain scarce. More likely, palm oil exports/freight rates to India will remain slow until the next festive season of Diwali in October, as for rates ex-S. America things are more complicated, with Atlantic basket CPP fundamentals most likely being the key factor behind the performance of the market there.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering - Specialized Products Desk
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 28 June 16
WEEKLY CS COAL INDICES ROSE ON RENEWED DEMAND FROM CHINA
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up by 0.66 percent week over week to averaging $39.65 per ton this past week, sh ...
Tuesday, 28 June 16
CHINA'S IRON ORE IMPORTS: HOW MUCH MORE WORK FOR CAPES? - CLARKSONS
Chinese iron ore imports account for around two thirds of global seaborne iron ore shipments, making it the key driver of Capesize employment. Whil ...
Monday, 27 June 16
LATEST NEWS ON BIMCO'S CONTRACTS AND CLAUSES
BIMCO is currently updating several of its most widely used charter parties including SUPPLYTIME and BARECON. New developments include the Standard ...
Monday, 27 June 16
BREXIT RESULT COULD SEE UK FACING AN EXODUS OF MARITIME TALENT - FASTSTREAM
The UK’s decision to leave the EU has the potential to drive many of its maritime employees away, according to the results of a survey issued ...
Monday, 27 June 16
THE BDI UP 3.75 PERCENT ; BCI FELL 1.51% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week. The BDI was up 3.75 percent from las ...
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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- The University of Queensland
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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